Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce
Champions League, Wednesday, 3pm ET
Play: Fenerbahce Over 2.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: +105
Line Parameter: Line good to -120
Fenarbahce ALWAYS play extremely aggressively on the road, especially in matches for the Champions/Europa League. This season in 3 away matches they got 3/3/5 cards, last season in their away matches they got 0/3/1/4/4. Basically, unless they are winning by a lot, they get frustrated and become really aggressive.
Aston Villa are win-less at home, albeit from a small sample (W0 D1 L2) but they did have all sorts of problems in the start of the season, as they lost a lot of key players in the off-season and their replacements were either injured or suspended in those first matches.
But picking up some slack lately and have now lost just 1 of L/6 (W3 D2 L1) and their first home win is overdue. I do see them winning here but I don't want to get involved in sides AT THESE ODDS, so pivoting to the Over 2.5 Cards for Fenerbahce.
Aston Villa's last two home matches, where they actually played pretty decent, saw opponents get 5/5 cards, and I expect something similar on Wednesday.
This is a 2* Play on Fenerbahce Over 2.5 Cards (+105), line good to -120
