Ivory Coast vs Norway Predictions, Odds, and Line Movement — June 30, 2026
Use Code WWWC Ivory Coast and Norway meet at AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Tuesday at 1:00 p.m. ET. Ivory Coast advanced from Group E with victories over Ecuador and Curaçao, losing only to Germany 2-1. Norway won their opening two matches against Iraq and Senegal before losing 4-1 to France — a scoreline that came with Erling Haaland, Martin Ødegaard, and most of the first-choice lineup on the bench. The latest World Cup betting trends show both teams scoring has hit in well over half of all matches in this tournament, and the combination of a rested Norwegian attack and Ivory Coast's scoring record through three group games makes over 2.5 the central position.
Quick Predictions
- Total Goals: Over 2.5, around -111
- Match Result: Norway moneyline, around +110
- Match Handicap: Norway -0.5, around +110
- Projected Final Score: Norway 2, Ivory Coast 1
Ivory Coast vs Norway Odds and Line Movement
| Market | Ivory Coast | Draw | Norway |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +260 | +240 | +110 |
| Spread | +0.5 | N/A | -0.5, +110 |
| Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | -111 | -106 |
Norway opened around +110 and has shortened slightly toward +105, while Ivory Coast has remained between +260 and +270. The total is the most evenly priced market on the slate — over and under sitting at essentially the same price — which reflects genuine uncertainty about whether Ivory Coast's defensive organization or Norway's rested attack will define the match. Norway's -0.5 handicap at +110 is an unusually attractive price for a team expected to win in regulation, and it represents the same position as the moneyline without giving away the draw.
Norway's Real Lineup Has Not Yet Played
The France score does not tell you anything about Norway's actual strength. Ståle Solbakken made ten changes for that match after qualification was already secured, resting virtually everyone who matters. Erling Haaland, who scored four goals in the first two group matches and created countless others through his movement and hold-up play, did not appear. Martin Ødegaard, whose passing from deep positions unlocked both Iraq and Senegal, also sat out.
The first-choice Norwegian side that defeated Iraq 4-1 and Senegal 3-2 is a genuinely dangerous team at this tournament. Haaland scored in both of those matches, Ødegaard controlled the midfield, and the wide runners created the space that turned tight first halves into convincing wins. Against Ivory Coast, who will be attempting to defend a physically imposing center-forward while also managing wide threats from Antonio Nusa and others, Norway should create consistently dangerous situations.
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Ivory Coast's approach will be organized and physical. Sebastien Haller — if fit — gives them a target in the box, Nicolas Pépé provides pace, and the midfield has enough quality to make Norway work for the ball. The African champions allowed only two goals in three group matches and recorded back-to-back clean sheets against Curaçao and Ecuador. But the quality of opposing attack matters enormously: Curaçao and Ecuador are not Haaland and Ødegaard.
Knockout Stage Trends
Neither team has knockout stage experience in the modern era to draw from as a direct comparison. That makes the broader tournament picture the most relevant guide, and what this tournament has shown is that matches between two genuinely attacking teams — which is what this is — tend to produce goals even in elimination games. Eleven of the sixteen knockout matches at the 2022 World Cup produced at least three goals, and the vast majority had a first-half goal. Both teams scored in their group matches. Norway's two competitive results produced ten combined goals. Ivory Coast scored in all three group appearances. That is not a coincidence — it reflects two teams that are actively looking to attack rather than simply protect a result.
Historical Team Trends
Ivory Coast's ten World Cup matches since 2006 have produced both teams scoring seven times, with eight of ten clearing 2.5 goals. They have rarely been involved in quiet games, even when they have been underdogs. That pattern makes them a more credible contributor to a high-scoring match than their two clean sheets against weaker opponents might imply.
Norway's group record in this tournament — seven goals from their first-choice lineup, three more from a rotated side against France — establishes them as one of the tournament's most dangerous attacking teams. Haaland's movement alone creates second-ball situations, late runs from midfield, and cross-field switches that generate high-quality opportunities regardless of how the opponent tries to defend.
Ivory Coast vs Norway Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals: Near even money for a match between two teams that have each scored in every game, with Norway's best players returning from rest, is excellent value. A 2-1 result clears the total, a 2-2 or 3-1 clears it even more comfortably. The main risk — a 1-0 result — requires Ivory Coast to defend as well as they did against Ecuador and Curaçao against a significantly better attack.
Norway moneyline: Haaland and Ødegaard are better than anything Ivory Coast faced in the group stage. The plus-money price reflects the even nature of this market, but Norway's individual quality in the decisive moments of knockout football is the strongest single edge in this match.
Norway -0.5: Same result requirement as the moneyline but at +110 — meaning you get paid more for backing Norway to win in regulation than you do for the straight outright bet. That pricing is unusual and worth taking advantage of.
Final Score Prediction
Norway 2, Ivory Coast 1. Haaland scores once, Norway creates sustained pressure that eventually produces a second, and Ivory Coast contributes one goal through a transition or set piece that briefly makes the match feel more uncertain than it ultimately proves.
How to Bet Ivory Coast vs Norway
Over 2.5 near even money is the preferred straight wager. Norway moneyline or -0.5 at +110 is the result position, with the handicap offering slightly better value. Compare current odds through the World Cup odds page, review our World Cup best bets, and visit the World Cup predictions hub.
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