2026 WNBA Team Betting Trends: Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Rankings
2026 WNBA Betting Trends: Team Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Records
The 2026 WNBA season has produced clear market separation, and the team-by-team numbers show where the value has landed. The Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics have pulled level as the league's best cover teams, while New York and Atlanta have cost backers money against the spread. Below are the full 15-team rankings for every major market to guide your WNBA predictions and wagers.
Spread and total records reflect flat 1-unit stakes through August 21, 2026. A positive ROI means blindly backing that side would have shown a profit.
Against the Spread Trends
Chicago and Washington are tied at the top, both 20-14, with Portland and Seattle just behind. New York and Atlanta sit at the bottom and belong on the fade side of most spreads.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 20-14 | +4.18u | +12.3% |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 20-14 | +4.18u | +12.3% |
| 3 | Portland Fire | 20-15 | +3.18u | +9.1% |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 20-15 | +3.18u | +9.1% |
| 5 | Golden State Valkyries | 19-15 | +2.27u | +6.7% |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 19-16 | +1.27u | +3.6% |
| 7 | Toronto Tempo | 15-15 | -1.36u | -4.5% |
| 8 | Indiana Fever | 18-18 | -1.64u | -4.6% |
| 9 | Las Vegas Aces | 18-18 | -1.64u | -4.6% |
| 10 | Connecticut Sun | 17-18 | -2.55u | -7.3% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 16-18 | -3.45u | -10.2% |
| 12 | Dallas Wings | 16-19 | -4.45u | -12.7% |
| 13 | Phoenix Mercury | 15-20 | -6.36u | -18.2% |
| 14 | Atlanta Dream | 14-22 | -9.27u | -25.8% |
| 15 | New York Liberty | 12-22 | -11.09u | -32.6% |
Moneyline Trends (Straight Up)
Moneyline bets are priced at each team's own odds rather than a standard number, so we show win-loss records and home and away splits rather than a flat-stake ROI, which would not reflect what a bettor actually earns. Minnesota leads at 30-7 and has been nearly untouchable on the road at 16-2. Connecticut and Seattle have been the league's weakest teams outright.
| Rank | Team | Record | Win Pct | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 30-7 | 0.811 | 14-5 | 16-2 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 25-10 | 0.714 | 15-5 | 10-5 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 25-13 | 0.658 | 12-7 | 13-6 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 24-13 | 0.649 | 13-6 | 11-7 |
| 5 | Atlanta Dream | 23-13 | 0.639 | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 21-14 | 0.600 | 13-6 | 8-8 |
| 7 | New York Liberty | 22-15 | 0.595 | 12-5 | 10-10 |
| 8 | Dallas Wings | 21-16 | 0.568 | 11-6 | 10-10 |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 15-20 | 0.429 | 8-10 | 7-10 |
| 10 | Chicago Sky | 14-22 | 0.389 | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| 11 | Phoenix Mercury | 13-23 | 0.361 | 5-11 | 8-12 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12-24 | 0.333 | 5-12 | 7-12 |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 10-25 | 0.286 | 6-12 | 4-13 |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun | 9-26 | 0.257 | 6-12 | 3-14 |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 7-30 | 0.189 | 5-13 | 2-17 |
Total Trends (Over / Under)
We rank the Over and Under separately since they are opposite bets. The Over is where most of the value sits — Toronto, New York, Indiana, and Minnesota have all cleared the number consistently, while Dallas and Golden State are the only teams showing a profitable Under.
Best Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Tempo | 22-11 | +27.3% |
| 2 | New York Liberty | 22-14 | +16.7% |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 22-15 | +13.5% |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 21-15 | +11.4% |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 20-15 | +9.1% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks | 20-15 | +9.1% |
| 7 | Portland Fire | 20-15 | +9.1% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 19-17 | +0.8% |
| 9 | Connecticut Sun | 18-17 | -1.8% |
| 10 | Phoenix Mercury | 18-17 | -1.8% |
| 11 | Las Vegas Aces | 19-18 | -2.0% |
| 12 | Seattle Storm | 18-19 | -7.1% |
| 13 | Washington Mystics | 17-18 | -7.3% |
| 14 | Golden State Valkyries | 16-18 | -10.2% |
| 15 | Dallas Wings | 16-20 | -15.1% |
Best Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 16-20 | +6.1% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 16-18 | +1.1% |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 17-18 | -1.8% |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 18-19 | -2.0% |
| 5 | Las Vegas Aces | 19-18 | -7.1% |
| 6 | Connecticut Sun | 18-17 | -7.3% |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury | 18-17 | -7.3% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 19-17 | -9.9% |
| 9 | Chicago Sky | 20-15 | -18.2% |
| 10 | Los Angeles Sparks | 20-15 | -18.2% |
| 11 | Portland Fire | 20-15 | -18.2% |
| 12 | Minnesota Lynx | 21-15 | -20.4% |
| 13 | Indiana Fever | 22-15 | -22.6% |
| 14 | New York Liberty | 22-14 | -25.8% |
| 15 | Toronto Tempo | 22-11 | -36.4% |
How We Use These Trends
Season-long numbers are a starting point, not a finished play. A team covering the spread at a strong clip tells you the market has been slow to adjust to how it wins, but the matchup and the closing number still decide each night. With the WNBA's shorter schedule, these rankings carry more noise than a full baseball season, so we treat them as a filter and let the specific game drive the final predictions and wagers.
For more WNBA predictions and daily wagers, visit WNBA Predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which WNBA team has the best against-the-spread trend in 2026?
The Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics are tied atop the league against the spread, both at 20-14 for a 12.3 percent return on flat 1-unit stakes. The Portland Fire and Seattle Storm follow just behind, making them the most reliable cover teams this season.
Which WNBA teams should bettors fade?
The New York Liberty have been the worst spread team at 12-22 (minus 32.6 percent), with the Atlanta Dream at 14-22 (minus 25.8 percent) and the Phoenix Mercury at 15-20 (minus 18.2 percent) close behind. All three have cost backers money laying the number.
Which teams are winning most often outright?
The Minnesota Lynx lead the league at 30-7, with the Golden State Valkyries at 25-10 and the Las Vegas Aces at 25-13. Minnesota has been nearly untouchable on the road at 16-2.
Why is there no ROI on the moneyline table?
Moneyline bets are priced at each team's actual odds, which swing from heavy favorite to long underdog game to game. A flat-stake ROI figure would be misleading because it assumes every bet costs the same, and moneyline bets do not. Win-loss records and home and away splits tell you what actually happened without pretending to a profit number the pricing cannot support.
Which teams hit the Over most often?
The Toronto Tempo top the Over board at 22-11 (plus 27.3 percent), with the New York Liberty at 22-14 (plus 16.7 percent) and Indiana close behind. All of them have played well above the pace the market expected.
Are there any reliable Under plays right now?
Only a couple. The Dallas Wings lead the Under at plus 6.1 percent, with the Golden State Valkyries just barely positive at plus 1.1 percent. Every other club sits at break-even or worse, so this remains a league that leans firmly toward the Over.
How often are these trends updated?
These tables reflect the 2026 WNBA regular season through August 21 and are refreshed as new results come in. Because the WNBA plays fewer games than other leagues, each result moves the ROI more, so check back before locking in wagers.
How is ROI calculated?
For the spread and total, every wager is treated as a flat 1-unit stake at standard pricing. Units is the running profit or loss across a team's games; ROI is that unit total divided by the number of bets, shown as a percentage. A positive ROI means backing that side all season would have shown a profit. The moneyline is excluded from this calculation because it is priced at variable odds.
Methodology
Spread and total results treat each game as a flat 1-unit wager at standard pricing — a cover for the spread, an Over or Under for the total. Units is the cumulative profit or loss; ROI is units divided by total bets. Moneyline is shown as a win-loss record only: because those bets are priced at each team's own odds rather than a standard number, a flat-stake ROI would not reflect what a bettor actually earns. Records cover the 2026 WNBA regular season across all 15 teams. Flat staking keeps every team on equal footing so a few heavy favorites or longshots cannot distort the spread and total rankings. WNBA samples are smaller than other leagues, so treat these trends as directional signals rather than settled edges.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Records reflect the 2026 WNBA regular season through August 21, 2026 and are subject to change.
