Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, September 10, 2025
On Wednesday, the Atlanta Dream (29-15, 2nd) will complete a home-and-home series on the road when visiting the Connecticut Sun (11-32, 11th) in the final game of the regular season for both teams. Atlanta is 29-14 and 2nd in the league. The Dream have won five straight after defeating Connecticut 87-62 on Monday night. Atlanta is currently second but could finish as low as fourth if the Dream loses and both Las Vegas and Phoenix win their final two games of the regular season. Connecticut has lost four of the last five and has been eliminated from postseason contention. Atlanta will play without Taylor Thierry and Holly Winterburn. Connecticut will play without Bria Hartley, Leila Lacan, and Olivia Nelson-Ododa. Make sure to read this in-depth Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun prediction. Shoot for success! Check out our free NBA picks for Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun prediction and win today.
Atlanta is playing well at both ends of the court
The Atlanta Dream score an average of 84.2 points per game, which is 5th, and allow an average of 77.3 points per game, which is 3rd. Atlanta shoots 44.1% overall and 33.7% from 3-point territory, which are 6th and 8th, respectively. Atlanta’s defense holds opponents to 43.1% shooting overall and 32.5% from 3-point territory, which are both 5th.
The top two scorers for Atlanta are Allisha Gray, who averages 18.6 points per game, and Rhyne Howard, who averages 17.5 points per game. Atlanta has two other players who average double figures in scoring. Jordin Canada is the dish leader, averaging 5.7 assists per game. Brionna Jones leads Atlanta in rebounding, averaging 7.4 rebounds per game. Howard is the leader in steals at 1.5 per game, and Brittney Griner leads in blocked shots at 1.1 per game.
Connecticut is weak at both ends of the court
The Connecticut Sun are 12th or next to last in scoring, averaging 76.3 points per game, and 11th in points allowed, at 85.9 points per game. Connecticut shoots 41.3% overall and 30.6% from 3-point territory, which are both 12th. Connecticut's defense allows opponents to shoot 46.4% overall and 34.8% from 3-point territory, which are 13th and 10th, respectively.
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The top two scorers for Connecticut are Tina Charles, who averages 16.6 points per game, and Marina Mabrey, who averages 14.4 points per game. Connecticut has one other player who averages double figures in scoring. Mabrey is the leader in assists, averaging 4.0 dishes per game. Aneesah Morrow is the leading rebounder, averaging 6.6 boards per game, but is out injured, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa is the rim protector, averaging 1.2 blocked shots per game, but is also sidelined with an injury. Saniya Rivers is the leader in steals at 1.5 per game.
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun Pick
Spread Pick for Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun
- Atlanta Dream (5 units)
Atlanta has far more incentive to win this matchup than Connecticut. The Dream are battling to finish second in the league standings, to face the 7th and next-to-last seed, while Connecticut has been eliminated from postseason contention and will go home for the winter after Wednesday’s game. Atlanta is 5th in scoring and third in points allowed, while Connecticut is 12th or next to last in scoring and 11th in points allowed. The Dream are 3-1 straight up and against the spread versus Connecticut this season, including a 25-point victory over the Sun on Monday night, easily covering the spread as a 15-point favorite. Connecticut has lost four of its last five SU and ATS.
Over/Under Pick for Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun
- Under (4 units)
The over/under has been 4-1-1 over the last six games between the two. The Dream are third best in points allowed, while Connecticut is 12th or next to last in scoring. The total has finished under in 11 of Atlanta’s last 14.
