Dallas Renegades vs St. Louis Battlehawks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday May 29 2026
Use Code WWWC The Dallas Renegades hit the road on May 29, 2026, looking to snap a six-game losing streak against a St. Louis Battlehawks club that has already locked up a postseason spot. With the Battlehawks at home and the Renegades winless on the road this season, this Week 10 matchup is loaded with handicapping angles. For more daily breakdowns across the sports landscape, take a look at our latest betting picks as the schedule continues to deliver value-driven matchups.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: St. Louis Battlehawks -5.5
- Total Pick: Lean Over 46.5
- Final Score Prediction: St. Louis Battlehawks 27, Dallas Renegades 20
Odds and Line Movement
The market on this UFL matchup has steadily moved in St. Louis' favor throughout the week, with the spread climbing from -3.5 to -5.5 as the date has approached. The juice has remained steady at -110 on both sides at various points. The total has held firm at 46.5 (-110) on the Over since the earliest available data, suggesting strong market confidence in the run environment. Below is the full breakdown of the available odds data.
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas | +3.5 (-110) | Over 46.5 (-110) |
| St. Louis | -3.5 (-110) | Under 46.5 (-110) |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas | +5.5 (-115) | Over 46.5 (-110) |
| St. Louis | -5.5 (-105) | Under 46.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Dallas Renegades | St Louis Battlehawks | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/28 | 11:24:46AM | 5½ -115 | -5½ -105 | - |
| 05/28 | 04:33:38AM | 4½ -110 | -4½ -110 | - |
| 05/25 | 07:27:18AM | 3½ -110 | -3½ -110 | - |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/24 | 11:44:02PM | 46½ -110 | 46½ -110 | - |
Renegades vs Battlehawks Key Matchups and Handicap
The team profiles tell a clear story heading into this matchup. St. Louis enters at 6-3 and second in the UFL, having already clinched a postseason berth, while Dallas is 3-6 and buried in sixth place riding a six-game losing streak. The Battlehawks have scored 196 points while allowing 177, giving them a clean positive point differential. The Renegades, by contrast, have actually scored more at 204 points, but have allowed a troubling 243, the worst defensive mark shown among the eight teams in the league. That defensive leakage is the biggest reason Dallas has been so difficult to trust this season.
Despite the losing streak, Dallas does have legitimate offensive firepower. Austin Reed has thrown for 1,761 yards and 18 touchdowns, and Tyler Vaughns has been the top receiving weapon with 493 yards and six touchdowns. Ellis Merriweather adds balance to the attack with 268 rushing yards and four rushing scores, giving the Renegades the ability to keep games competitive when the offense is rolling. The problem is the road profile: Dallas is 0-4 on the road this season, while St. Louis sits at 3-1 at home, which is a significant situational gap.
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St. Louis' offensive production has been more spread out across multiple contributors. Luis Perez leads the team at 744 passing yards, while Harrison Frost paces the passing touchdown category with seven. Jarveon Howard has posted 430 rushing yards, Kylin James has scored four rushing touchdowns, and Hakeem Butler leads the receiving group with 568 yards. That kind of balance gives the Battlehawks flexibility offensively, and combined with a defense that has allowed 66 fewer points than Dallas, the overall profile supports laying the points at home.
Betting Trends DAL vs STL
The current-form trends paint a stark picture. Dallas comes in on a six-game losing streak, while St. Louis has won three of its last four and carries momentum into this game. The Battlehawks have been one of the more reliable home performers in the league at 3-1, while the Renegades are searching for their first road win at 0-4. That combination of streak, situational splits, and home-road records is exactly the kind of profile bettors should be following on a moderate home favorite spread.
The line movement also supports the favorite. The spread has climbed from -3.5 to -5.5 throughout the week, suggesting the market has continued to find more value on St. Louis as new information has filtered in. The total has held remarkably steady at 46.5, which makes the Over the cleaner total angle given Dallas' offensive upside through Reed and Vaughns and St. Louis' multiple scoring threats. The projected final score of 47 total points lines up right at the number, giving the Over a slight lean rather than a strong play.
ATS and Total Picks
- Spread Pick: St. Louis Battlehawks -5.5 - With St. Louis at home, riding momentum, owning a clean point differential, and facing a Dallas club that's 0-4 on the road and on a six-game losing streak, the Battlehawks are the play even at the elevated spread.
- Total Pick: Lean Over 46.5 - Dallas games can open up quickly with Reed throwing the ball, and St. Louis' balanced offensive attack should put up enough points to push this just past the number.
Final Score Prediction
Expect St. Louis to control the early stages of this game behind a steady run game from Howard and James, with Frost connecting on a couple of key passing touchdowns to build a comfortable lead. Dallas will keep things competitive through Reed and the passing attack, with Vaughns coming up with some chunk plays, but the defensive leakage that has plagued the Renegades all season shows up again at the worst possible moments. St. Louis pulls away in the second half to cover the 5.5-point spread and continue building toward the postseason.
Final Score Prediction: St. Louis Battlehawks 27, Dallas Renegades 20
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