Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, November 10, 2026
On Tuesday, the Colorado Avalanche (10-6-2, 22 points) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (8-9-2, 18 points) at Scotiabank Arena, with the game beginning at 7:00 pm ET and carried by ESPN+. Colorado defeated Detroit on Saturday 4-0. Toronto lost to New Jersey 4-0 on Sunday. The Avalanche have won three of their last five, and the Maple Leafs have lost each of the last three. Colorado is 3-5-0 away from home, and Toronto is 4-6-1 on its home ice. The Leafs beat the Avalanche in October, 6-3. Get ahead of the odds with our free NHL picks.
Colorado Looking to Keep Scoring
Colorado responded well on Saturday, after giving up seven goals to Columbus and dropping an overtime game to Nashville, but shutting out Detroit. The attack is Colorado’s strength, as the Avalanche have a goals-for average of 4.00 on 30.6 shots per game. However, Colorado’s goals-against is 3.06 and it cannot afford to give up seven goals as it did to the Blue Jackets.
Nathan MacKinnon has been the strength of Colorado’s attack with 10 goals and 20 assists for 30 points. Martin Necas follows with 23 points, while Artturi Lehkonen leads the club with 12 goals. Cale Makar has added 21 points from the blue line. Colorado converts 23.3% of its power plays. Mackenzie Blackwood has also given the Avalanche dependable goaltending, posting a 9-3-1 record with a 2.60 goals-against average and .901 save percentage.
Injuries: Josh Manson is out. Zachary L'Heureux is on long-term injured reserve.
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Toronto Trying to Find Its Offense
Sunday was another frustrating night for Toronto. The Maple Leafs couldn't get a puck past New Jersey, falling 4-0 at Scotiabank Arena for their third consecutive defeat. Toronto has scored just four goals during that stretch and lost four of its last five games. That's a concern for a team averaging 3.37 goals per contest. Defense hasn't been particularly dependable either, with the Leafs surrendering 3.32 goals and 29.6 shots per game. Their 4-6-1 home record hasn't helped matters.
Auston Matthews is the points leader for Toronto with 27, which includes 11 goals and 16 assists. William Nylander is tied for the lead in goals with Matthews with 11, and his 22 points are second for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs are tough on the power play, scoring 28.6% of the time with the man advantage. Play in goal has been inconsistent. Sergei Bobrovsky has a 3.34 goals-against average and .886 save percentage, while Anthony Stolarz has posted a 2.72 GAA and .908 save percentage.
Injuries: Colton Sissons, Jack Roslovic and Morgan Rielly are out. Kirill Marchenko is on injured reserve. Miles Wood is on long-term injured reserve.
Key To The Game
Colorado gets more pucks toward the net, averaging 30.6 shots compared with Toronto's 27.9. The Avalanche also score 4.00 goals per game, while the Leafs have struggled to finish lately. Toronto's power play could change things, but keeping MacKinnon away from dangerous scoring areas will be a much bigger challenge.
Colorado vs Toronto Game Pick
- Colorado Avalanche
Toronto beat Colorado in October, the first time the two met this season, but has struggled recently. The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three and have scored just three times over that span. Colorado’s MacKinnon has 30 points, Lehkonen has 12 goals, and the Avalanche average 4.00 goals per game. Matthews and Nylander give Toronto enough talent to fight back, especially on the power play. But the Leafs have struggled at home, and their goaltending hasn't been steady. Colorado also comes off a shutout victory. I'll back the Avalanche to grab the road win.
Colorado vs Toronto Over/Under Pick
- Over
Colorado knows how to put goals on the board. The Avalanche average 4.00 per game and have scored five or more twice in their last five outings. Toronto allows 3.32 goals, which should leave MacKinnon and company with opportunities. The Maple Leafs haven't been scoring much lately, but Matthews and Nylander have 11 goals apiece, and their power play converts 28.6% of its chances. Colorado also gives up 3.06 goals per contest. These teams combined for nine goals in October, and there's enough offense here for another big score. Take the over.