Yankees vs. Brewers Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
Use Code WWWC New York (26-14) will try to salvage a series win when they wrap up their three-game road set against Milwaukee (21-16) at American Family Field on Sunday afternoon at 2:10 PM ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Yankees vs. Brewers prediction. Don't go down on strikes! Get our top MLB Predictions and increase your bankroll!
Carlos Rodón, making his 2026 season debut, will get the start for the Yankees. The Brewers will counter with Logan Henderson, 0-1, 4.50 ERA.
Yankees Trying To Salvage A Series Win
The Yankees are on a roll. After a 6-1 homestand in which they handled the Orioles and took two of three from the Rangers. Despite losing the series opener 6-0 on Friday, New York enters Game 3 with a chance to avoid their first road series loss in nearly a month.
New York's bullpen has been steadier overall, and the Yankees enter with strong recent form, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. With a sizeable OPS gap (.794 vs .697) over the Brewers and a staff permitting just 3.4 runs per game, New York has multiple paths to a multi-run victory.
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Ben Rice leads the AL in batting at .343, with a .455 OBP and a 1.214 OPS that leads all of baseball, while Aaron Judge has slugged an MLB-high 15 home runs in just 37 games. Cody Bellinger leads the team with 28 RBI.
David Bednar holds down the back end of the bullpen and has converted 10 of his 11 save opportunities.
Rodón returns to a pitching staff that has more than held its own in his absence. The Yankees entered Saturday with an American League-best 3.12 team ERA, including a 3.09 ERA from their starters. In three minor-league rehab starts, Rodón posted a 3.38 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and 16 strikeouts across 16 innings, and got up to 85 pitches in his last outing, working into the seventh inning.
Brewers Trying To Win The Series
Milwaukee is currently in the middle of a five-team dogfight in the NL Central, sitting in third place entering the series. The Brewers have put together back-to-back impressive performances against New York's formidable rotation and now have a chance to take the series Sunday at home.
The Brewers have kept pace on the strength of a solid OBP (.337) and quality run prevention, posting a 3.60 ERA on the season. Brice Turang (.305/.439/.517, 5 HR) has ignited the top of the order, William Contreras keeps the line moving, and Jake Bauers' added pop has helped cover while the offense works with recently returned players.
Milwaukee's roster gained a stronger presence this week with the returns of Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn from the injured list, both playing significant roles in the Brewers' offense in recent games.
Henderson, 24, made his second MLB start of the season on Sunday against the Nationals, going six innings with two runs allowed on three hits and no walks while striking out eight on just 76 pitches. The promising right-hander has never faced New York in his young career.
Yankees vs. Brewers Picks
Money Line Pick for Yankees vs. Brewers New York
- Yankees ML (4 Units)
The Yankees get the edge here because they get a massive boost with Rodón finally back on the mound. Last season Rodón was 18-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 203 strikeouts across 195 1/3 innings, finishing sixth in AL Cy Young voting. Even with a pitch count likely limiting his outing, his return adds a high-end weapon to an already dominant staff. Henderson is a talented young arm, but he has started just two games with set spreads this season and the Brewers failed to cover in both opportunities. Against a lineup featuring Judge, Rice, and Bellinger at full strength, the Yankees' offensive depth should be able to break through. New York has also dominated this matchup historically — the Yankees have won the last three meetings against Milwaukee dating back to the 2025 season opener, outscoring the Brewers by a wide margin. Take New York on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Yankees vs. Brewers
- Under 8 (4 Units)
The Brewers' recent totals trend leans heavily toward the Under, going 1-3-1 to the Over in their last five games, and their modest slugging percentage lowers the risk of a blowout offensively. Rodón will be working on a tight pitch count in his season debut, meaning the Yankees' bullpen — which has been one of the league's best — should handle later innings cleanly. Henderson has shown the ability to work deep and limit free passes, and with both teams featuring premium arms, this figures to be a tightly pitched Sunday matinée. Take the Under.
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