Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
Use Code WWWC The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday, May 10, in the finale of their weekend series at Fenway Park. The teams were rained out on Saturday, so both clubs get an extra day to reset after Boston picked up a win on Friday. Take the mound by storm with our free MLB picks.
Looking for winners in MLB? Check out David Delano's top plays. #1 in MLB going back to July 2023.
Rays are quietly one of the best teams in baseball
The Rays had their hot streak slowed with Friday’s loss, but the bigger picture still says Tampa Bay is in excellent form. The Rays have won 12 of their last 14 games, and they have done it with a balanced formula of pitching, defense, contact, and speed.
Tampa Bay is hitting .254 as a team, which ranks fifth in baseball. The Rays are also eighth in on-base percentage at .327, so they are doing a good job creating traffic even without elite power numbers. Tampa Bay has just 31 home runs, ranking 25th, and a .373 slugging percentage, ranking 24th, but this team can manufacture offense in other several ways. The Rays have 40 stolen bases, which ranks second in baseball, and that speed can be important in a lower-scoring game.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
The biggest reason to like Tampa Bay’s profile is the pitching staff. The Rays own a 3.51 team ERA, which ranks fifth, and a 1.17 WHIP, which ranks second. Opponents are batting just .218 against them, the third-best mark in baseball.
Nick Martinez has been a big part of that success. He enters at 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 28 strikeouts, and 10 walks. Tampa Bay is 6-1 in his starts, and the Rays have allowed more than two runs only twice in those seven outings.
Red Sox looking to get on track
The Red Sox got the win on Friday before Saturday’s rainout, but this is still a team searching for more consistent offense. Boston is batting just .234 as a team, ranking 20th in baseball, and the Red Sox are 26th in runs scored with 155. They also rank 28th in home runs with 29, 23rd in on-base percentage at .314, and 29th in slugging percentage at .353.
Boston’s pitching staff has been solid but not dominant, with a 4.00 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and .244 batting average allowed. Sunday's expected starter, Payton Tolle gives the Red Sox a real chance to keep this competitive. The left-hander has been sharp, entering with a 2.04 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, 23 strikeouts, and only six walks. Those are strong numbers, and he has done a good job avoiding unnecessary traffic.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Predictions
Rays vs Red Sox Moneyline Pick:
- Rays ML -120 (4 units)
I like Tampa Bay on the moneyline in this matchup. Boston won Friday, and Saturday’s rainout gave both teams an extra day off, but the Rays are still the better team right now. Tampa Bay has won 12 of its last 14 games and is 6-1 in Nick Martinez's starts this season.
Martinez has been outstanding with a 1.71 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The Rays have also allowed more than two runs in only two of their seven starts, which shows how well this team has played behind him.
Boston has home-field advantage, but the Red Sox offense has been inconsistent. Tampa Bay has the better form, better pitching staff, and the more trustworthy starter.
Rays vs Red Sox Total Pick:
- Under 7.5 (4 units)
Nick Martinez has been excellent for Tampa Bay, and the Rays have played a lot of low-scoring games behind him. Tampa Bay has allowed more than two runs in only two of his seven starts, and the under is 9-1 in the Rays’ last 10 games.
Payton Tolle has also been strong for Boston. He enters with a 2.04 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, 23 strikeouts, and only six walks, so he is not giving opponents many free chances.
Boston is only 5-12-1 to the over at home, and the Red Sox offense has not shown enough consistency to expect a major breakout here. With both starters in good form, this total looks a little high.
Never Tried Winners and Whiners? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code DOLLAR
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
- Check out more MLB predictions
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
