New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 25 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 07/25/2026, 05:35 AM ET

The New York Yankees visit the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. New York is 57-45 and sits second in the AL East, two games behind the Rays. The Yankees have won three of their last five games after a 2-0 victory over Pittsburgh. Philadelphia is 56-47 and sits second in the NL East, 4.5 games behind Atlanta. The Phillies have split their last five games and are coming off a 9-5 loss to the Dodgers. Cash in a winner with our free MLB picks.

New York Yankees Looking to Stay Near the Top of the AL East

The Yankees are batting .236 while scoring 480 runs with 795 hits, 147 home runs, a .315 on-base percentage, and a .420 slugging percentage. Despite the modest batting average, New York has relied on its power throughout the season. Ben Rice leads the offense with a .277 average, 30 home runs, and 71 RBIs. Cody Bellinger has added 52 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has hit 16 home runs and stolen 27 bases. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton remain on the injured list, making Rice the focal point of the lineup.

New York's pitching staff has been one of the best in baseball with a 3.38 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. Ryan Weathers gets the start with a 3-7 record, a 4.40 ERA, and a 1.27 WHIP over 102.1 innings. The left-hander has struck out 115 batters while allowing 101 hits and 17 home runs. The Yankees will need another solid outing from Weathers against a dangerous Philadelphia lineup.

Injuries: Aaron Judge (60-Day IL), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Carlos Rodon (15-Day IL), Clarke Schmidt (60-Day IL).

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Philadelphia Phillies Trying to Keep Pace in the NL East

Philadelphia is batting .236 while scoring 448 runs with 817 hits, 135 home runs, a .303 on-base percentage, and a .402 slugging percentage. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 33 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Brandon Marsh is batting .292 with a team-high 105 hits. Bryce Harper owns a .363 on-base percentage with 21 home runs, giving Philadelphia three dependable run producers in the middle of the order.

The Phillies have posted a 4.27 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .255. Philadelphia has recorded 1,004 strikeouts. The club had not announced a starting pitcher at the time of this matchup. The bullpen could play a larger role if the starter does not work deep into the game.

Injuries: Rafael Marchan (Day-to-Day), Tanner Banks (15-Day IL), Lou Trivino (15-Day IL), Garrett Stubbs (10-Day IL), Brad Keller (15-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

New York Yankees – Ryan Weathers

Weathers is 3-7 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP across 102.1 innings. He has struck out 115 batters while allowing 101 hits and 17 home runs. Limiting Philadelphia's power hitters will be his biggest challenge.

Philadelphia Phillies – Undecided

Philadelphia had not named a starting pitcher for Saturday's game. The Phillies own a 4.27 team ERA and could rely on multiple pitchers depending on who receives the start.

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Pick

  • New York Yankees

The Yankees hold the edge because they enter with the stronger pitching staff and a confirmed starter, while Philadelphia had not announced its starter. New York also owns a better record and has hit 147 home runs this season, led by Ben Rice. Even without Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, the Yankees have continued to win games and have the advantage entering this matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Over/Under Pick

  • Under

New York's pitching staff has consistently limited opposing offenses with a 3.38 ERA and a .226 opponent batting average. Weathers has been solid for much of the season, and Philadelphia's offense has been inconsistent over its last five games. Take the under, as the Mets lineup has performed well all season and will hold the Phillies lineup to fewer runs than normal on Saturday.

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