New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 17, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s the finale of the latest chapter of the Subway Series between foes on the diamond in the Big Apple when the New York Yankees travel to take on the New York Mets Sunday afternoon and we break it down for you with our Yankees vs. Mets prediction. In the opening game of the series Friday night, the Yankees drew first blood with a 5-2 triumph. Will the Bronx Bombers earn the win on getaway day or can the Mets prevail at home? This article was published prior to the conclusion of the middle game of the set at Citi Field Saturday night. Don’t go down on strikes! Increase your bankroll with our MLB Betting Picks! Read more about this Yankees vs. Mets prediction!
Yankees Battling for AL East Advantage
New York won for just the second time in their last seven games as they took the opening game of this set Friday night. The Yankees entered Saturday 28-17 and stood second in the AL East, two games behind the Rays for the top spot. Against the Mets Friday night, New York finished with 12 hits as Ben Rice (two runs, RBI) and Jazz Chisholm Jr. (run, two RBI) each had three to lead the way. Rice (his 14th) went deep in the victory for the Yankees. Cam Schlittler (6-1) earned the win as he threw 6.2 innings, allowing one run on two hits with two walks and nine strikeouts before turning things over to the bullpen.
Ryan Weathers is on the mound as he makes his ninth start of the season for the Yankees. He is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.111 WHIP, 13 walks and 45 strikeouts over 54 innings of work this season. Weathers didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Orioles on the road Monday. He threw 6.2 innings, allowing two runs on one hit with three walks and nine strikeouts in a 3-2 Yankees defeat. In his last three starts, Weathers is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP, five walks and 18 strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work. Weathers beat the Mets in his lone career start against them, which came with the Padres on April 11, 2023. He threw five innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a 4-2 Padres win. That outing came at Citi Field, giving Weathers a passing familiarity with the park.
New York Trying to Get Untracked
New York saw their three-game win streak snapped as they were beaten in the opening game of this set Friday night. The Mets entered Saturday 18-26 and sat in the basement of the NL East, 12.5 games behind the Braves for the top spot. In the opening game of the set Friday night, New York finished with just five hits as Brett Baty (RBI) had two. Juan Soto hit his sixth homer of the season in the loss. Clay Holmes (4-4) took the loss as he allowed four runs on seven hits with two walks and eight strikeouts over 4.1 innings of work before departing.
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Freddy Peralta gets the ball for his 10th start of the season for the Mets as he takes the ball on getaway day. He is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA, a 1.216 WHIP, 19 walks and 50 strikeouts over 49.1 innings of work this season. Peralta earned the win in his last start, which came at home against the Tigers Tuesday night. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on seven hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a 10-2 Mets victory. In his last three starts, Peralta is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, six walks and 14 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. Peralta took the loss in his lone career start against the Yankees, which came with the Brewers on the road on March 27, 2025. He threw five innings, allowing two runs on four hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in a 4-2 Brewers defeat. Peralta is 4-2 with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.081 WHIP, 15 walks and 53 strikeouts over 45.1 innings of action in eight career starts at Citi Field.
Padres vs. Mets Pick
Moneyline Pick for Padres vs. Mets
- Yankees (4 units)
The Subway Series is always entertaining and this one likely is no different. We saw the Yankees take the opening game of the series Friday night behind a solid pitching performance. Weathers has been a solid back of the rotation arm this season and the Yankees have a deep lineup. While Peralta has been better in his last couple starts, the Mets’ bullpen and lineup are both subpar to this point of the season. The Mets are at home but the Yankees are the better team at this point in time. Look for the Bronx Bombers to prevail and take the series.
Over/Under Pick for Padres vs. Mets
- Under (4 units)
New York has seen the under hit in 25 of their 42 games, with two pushes, this season entering Saturday. The Yankees are fifth in the majors by averaging 5.07runs per game though they allow 3.47 runs per game, giving them an average of 8.54 runs per game. New York puts up just 3.88 runs per game on the road, while allowing 2.92 runs per game, giving them an average total of 6.80 runs per contest. The Mets are tied for 27th in runs per game with 3.70 runs a night, a number that bumps up to 4.05 runs per game at home entering Saturday. New York has an average total of 7.86 runs per game and that climbs to 8.73 runs per game at Citi Field. The Mets entered Saturday having seen the under post a 24-16-4 mark in their opening 44 games of the year. With both pitchers throwing well right now and the Mets struggling to score, this game ends up short of the number.
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