New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Picks and Prediction for Sunday April 26 2026

By: Ben Hayes Published 04/26/2026, 04:40 AM ET
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The New York Yankees (13-9) and Houston Astros (9-15) meet on Sunday in the series finale from Minute Maid Park at 2:10 PM ET. The Yankees won the first game of this series 12-4 on Friday night and have won three of their last four in this series. *Going into Saturday night's matchup, the Yankees had won seven straight games. The Astros have not been as fortunate, losing six of eight, but they did take two of three at Cleveland in their last series. Check out more free baseball picks and hoops predictions at Winners and Whiners.

*-game published before Saturday's results.

Offense explodes on Friday

Ben Rice hit a home run, tallied three hits and two RBIs, while Jazz Chisolm added a homer, three hits and four RBIs to lead New York over Houston in Game 1, 12-4. Will Warren picked up his third win, allowing seven hits and two runs in six innings. The Yankees lead the AL East with a 17-9 record at 2.5 games over Tampa Bay. The only negative of Friday's win was thatΒ  Giancarlo Stanton, who had an RBI single in the sixth, left three batters later with right lower leg tightness after being unable to score from second on a J.C. Escarra single to the left field wall. Stanton was later replaced by Randal Grichuk and is considered day-to-day.

The Yankees will send right-hander Luis Gill to the mound on Sunday. He's 1-1 with a 4.11 ERA, allowing 10 hits in 15.1 innings with four homers and eight walks. Last season, he went 4-1 in 11 starts with a 3.32 ERA and 1.140 WHIP due to injuries. His best season came in 2024 when he went 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA. He last faced Houston on August 9, 2025, holding them to two runs in 5.1 innings with seven strikeouts.

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Astros lose momentum

Houston had some momentum coming into their home series with the Yankees after taking two of three from the Guardians on the road. But they were crushed on Friday night as Lance McCullers Jr. allowed seven runs (five earned), including two home runs. His bullpen didn't help as Colton Gordon came in during the sixth inning and allowed five runs in two innings, also giving up two homers. The only bright spots were C Yainer Diaz blasting his second homer with two RBs and Braden Shewmake, hitting his first homer for the Astros, after coming over from the Yankees last week in a minor deal.

Right-hander Spencer Arrighetti is set to take the mound for the Astros. He's been very good this season, going 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA with 13 strikeouts. However, he has walked eight batters in 11 innings, owning a poor 1.45 WHIP. Last season, he started just seven games due to injuries and went 1-5 with a 5.35 ERA. Over his three-year career, he's 10-18 with a 4.56 ERA. He faced the Yankees just once, in 2024, allowing five runs and three homers in five innings.

Spread Pick for Yankees vs. Astros

Yankees vs. Astros Pick and Prediction

  • Houston +116 (4 units)

Gil has not been very good in his two starts, allowing seven runs with five walks and four home runs against the Angels and Rays. Last season, he owned a 4.38 ERA in five starts on the road. Arrighetti was outstanding at home, going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three straight. Houston is a talented team, and they just came off beating Cleveland in two of three games.

Total pick for Yankees vs. Astros

  • Over 9.5 (5 units)

Neither pitcher has been great over the last two seasons, partially due to injuries. Gil gives up too many homers and Arrighetti struggles with his control. Before Saturday's results, these teams had played four straight overs in the last four meetings. Pitching hasn't been a strong suit for the Astros, who have gone over in six of their last seven games. They've allowed a whopping 45 runs in that span.

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