New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 7/1/2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Mets look to build on their recent momentum as they continue their series north of the border against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 1st, 2026, offering bettors a prime opportunity to find value in both game lines and player props.
Best Available Odds for Mets vs Blue Jays
- Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets -115 (BetRivers) / Toronto Blue Jays +102 (BetRivers)
- Best Spread Odds: New York Mets -1.5 (+145 at BetRivers) / Toronto Blue Jays +1.0 (-127 at BetRivers)
- Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 (+102 at BetRivers) / Under 8.5 (+102 at BetRivers)
Game Info
- Date: July 1st, 2026
- Time: 3:07 PM EDT
- Location: Rogers Centre
New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The visiting New York Mets enter this afternoon matchup following a 3-0 shutout victory over the Toronto Blue Jays yesterday. The Mets' pitching staff has been highly effective, and they will look to carry that defensive dominance into this game. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are trying to spark an offense that has struggled to find consistency, especially with key bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. listed as day-to-day (verify the lineup before the game). With both teams dealing with notable injuries-including Marcus Semien on the 10-day IL for the Mets and José Berríos on the 60-day IL for Toronto-depth and starting pitching will be the deciding factors in this afternoon clash.
Starting Pitchers and Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send right-hander Freddy Peralta to the mound. Peralta has been excellent this season, posting a clean first-inning record in 12 of his 15 starts. Against the current Toronto roster, Peralta has held hitters to a tiny .097 batting average (3-for-31) over 36 career plate appearances, striking out 22.2% of the batters he has faced. Daulton Varsho is just 1-for-6 (.167 BA) against him, while George Springer is 1-for-5 (.200 BA).
The Toronto Blue Jays will counter with right-hander Braydon Fisher. Fisher has never faced any players on the Mets' current roster, leaving New York's hitters with no career head-to-head matchups to reference. This lack of familiarity could give Fisher a brief early advantage, but his lack of experience against this potent Mets lineup presents a major challenge as the game progresses.
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Game Thesis: I expect the New York Mets to win a low-scoring, tightly contested game. Freddy Peralta's historical dominance over the Blue Jays' active hitters, combined with Toronto's offensive struggles, should keep the Blue Jays' scoring to a minimum. While Braydon Fisher may keep the Mets quiet early, New York's superior pitching depth and Peralta's stability will ultimately secure a close victory for the visitors.
Best Bet - Moneyline Pick: New York Mets (-115)
The New York Mets are the strongest play on the board at -115 odds. Freddy Peralta has a proven track record of shutting down the Blue Jays' primary hitters, holding the current roster to a collective .097 batting average. With Toronto's offense struggling to find its footing and missing key production, the Mets' pitching advantage makes them the clear choice to win this game outright.
Spread Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +1.0 (-127)
While the Mets are expected to win, the Blue Jays keeping this within a single run is a highly logical lean. Braydon Fisher's unfamiliarity could keep the Mets' bats quiet in the early frames, leading to a close, low-scoring battle. Taking Toronto at +1.0 on the spread provides excellent insurance in what projects to be a tight, one-run game.
Total Pick: Under 8.5 (+102)
Consistent with a low-scoring game flow, the Under 8.5 is the preferred play. Freddy Peralta has been a master at preventing early runs, boasting a 12-3 Under record in the first inning this season. With Toronto's offense suppressed by Peralta's historical edge and the Mets likely playing a conservative road game, runs will be at a premium this afternoon.
Top Player Prop Picks for Mets vs Blue Jays
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits (-245) Benge has been incredibly consistent for the Mets, recording at least one hit in 100% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10 games. Facing an inexperienced pitcher in Braydon Fisher, Benge is primed to keep his hot streak alive.
Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-130) Peralta has surpassed this line in 60% of his last 10 starts and has a season average of 5.18 strikeouts per game. His career 22.2% strikeout rate against active Blue Jays hitters supports him hitting this modest line easily.
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Walks (-142) Soto's elite plate discipline makes this a stellar prop, as he has drawn a walk in 80% of his last 5 gam
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