New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, June 21, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 06/21/2026, 05:00 AM ET
Mets vs. Phillies prediction
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New York (34-41) will be going for the series win when they visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday night to face Philadelphia (40-35) in the final game of their three-game series at 7:20 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mets vs. Phillies prediction.

Zach Wheeler, 6-1, 2.01 ERA, will get the start for the Phillies. The Mets have not announced their starter for the game.

New York and Philadelphia split their last 10 meetings.

**This preview was written before Saturday’s game was played.**

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Mets Going For Third Consecutive Win

The Mets followed up their two-game losing streak with two straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play the Phillies.

New York averages 4.08 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their .233 batting average is 26th in the league. Their .298 on base percentage is 28th, as is their .373 slugging percentage.

Juan Soto leads the Mets with a .300 batting average and 17 home runs, while Bo Bichette leads the team with 42 RBI.

New York is giving up 4.28 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. Opponents have a .230 batting average against the Mets, which is sixth in the league. Their 3.92 ERA is ninth, while their 1.27 WHIP is 11th.

Phillies Trying To Move Up NL East Standings

The Phillies bounced back from their series loss to Milwaukee with a series win over the Marlins. They are second in the NL East standings, seven games behind Atlanta, and will try to cut into Atlanta’s lead with a win on Sunday.

Philadelphia averages 4.11 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. Their .229 batting average is 27th in the league. Their .298 on base percentage is 29th, while their .387 slugging percentage is 22nd.

Brandon Marsh leads the Phillies with a .317 batting average, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 25 home runs and 43 RBI.

Philadelphia is giving up 4.37 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Opponents have a .257 batting average against the Phillies, which is 27th in the league. Their 4.10 ERA is 14th, while their 1.31 WHIP is 17th.

In his last start, Wheeler gave up two hits and no runs in six innings, leading to a 7-0 win over Miami. He is 5-5 with a 3.36 ERA in 17 games against the Mets.

Mets vs. Phillies Picks

Run Line Pick for Mets vs. Phillies

  • Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (4 Units)

The Phillies have the edge in this game because they’re playing well offensively and scored 23 runs in their last four games. They’re facing a Mets pitching staff that has struggled on the mound in recent games, especially on the road, where they gave up 22 runs in their last four games, so expect them to play well offensively in this game.

The Mets will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they’re not playing as well as the Phillies, and scored 18 runs in their last four road games. They haven’t had a lot of success against right-handers, and they’re going up against Wheeler, who has been great on the mound for the Phillies all season. He gave up three runs in his last three starts and five runs in his last four home starts, so expect him to keep New York’s offense in check. Take Philadelphia on the run line.

Over/Under Pick for Mets vs. Phillies

  • Under (4 Units)

The Mets average 4.08 runs per game. They’re batting .231 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up three runs in his last three starts. The Phillies average 4.11 runs per game. They’re batting .229 for the season, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 4.28 runs per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total.

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