New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New York Mets (22-29, 11-16 Away) face the Miami Marlins (23-29, 16-15 Home) at loanDepot park on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. The pitching matchup has Christian Scott starting for the Mets against an undecided Marlins arm. New York has split the last five games at 2-3 after a 2-1 loss to Miami on Friday. Miami is also 2-3 across the last five games, but the Marlins took the series opener against the Mets by holding New York to one run. Baseball excitement starts here! Dive into our MLB picks for the New York Mets vs Miami Marlins picks prediction.
Mets Need More Run Support Behind Scott
The New York Mets enter this matchup with a 22-29 record, including an 11-16 mark away from home. New York has hit .230 with 205 runs, 394 hits, 46 home runs, a .294 OBP, and a .356 SLG. Those numbers show why the Mets have had trouble turning close games into wins, especially when the lineup fails to stack hits. Christian Scott gets the start with a 0-0 record, a 4.12 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, and 25 strikeouts across 19.2 innings. Scott has allowed 17 hits, 12 walks, and one home run, so the strikeout count is strong, but the traffic on base remains a concern.
New York’s most recent game was a 2-1 loss at Miami on Friday. The Mets kept the game tight but did not produce enough offense to back the pitching staff. That result followed a 2-1 win at Washington, an 8-4 loss, a 9-6 loss, and a 16-7 win in 12 innings. The last five-game run shows a Mets team with uneven scoring. New York has one big offensive result in that stretch, but the Mets have also scored two runs or fewer in two straight games. Juan Soto leads the Mets with 10 home runs while batting .301 with 21 RBIs. Carson Benge owns a .257 average, .315 OBP, and .353 SLG, while Bo Bichette has 27 RBIs, five home runs, and a .221 average.
Injuries:A.J. Minter, RP, 60-Day IL. Jared Young, 1B, 10-Day IL. Jorge Polanco, 1B, 10-Day IL. Jose Rojas, 3B, 7-Day IL. Joe Jacques, RP, 7-Day IL.
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Marlins Have the Better Home Form
The Miami Marlins come in at 23-29 overall and 16-15 at home. Miami has hit .243 with 223 runs, 418 hits, 42 home runs, a .319 OBP, and a .375 SLG. The Marlins have the better team batting average, OBP, SLG, and run total in this matchup, which matters against a Mets team that has struggled to build steady offense. Miami’s starter is listed as undecided, so the Marlins’ pitching setup is not clear from the provided information. The team ERA sits at 4.33 with a 1.28 WHIP, while opponents are batting .229 against Miami pitching.
Miami’s most recent game was a 2-1 win over New York on Friday. The Marlins held the Mets to one run and got enough offense to stop a three-game losing streak against Atlanta. Before that win, Miami lost 9-3, 9-1, and 8-4 to the Braves after beating Atlanta 12-0 on May 18. The Marlins have allowed too many runs in recent games, but Friday’s result was a needed correction. Otto Lopez leads Miami in average at .340 with a .371 OBP and .485 SLG. Liam Hicks has been the main run producer with nine home runs, 42 RBIs, and a .273 average. Miami also has a 12-10 day-game record compared with New York’s 9-13 mark.
Injuries:Thomas White, SP, 7-Day IL. Leo Jimenez, 3B, 7-Day IL. Griffin Conine, LF, 10-Day IL. Kemp Alderman, RF, 7-Day IL. Ronny Henriquez, RP, 60-Day IL.
New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pick
Spread Pick for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks
- Miami Marlins (4 units)
The pick is Miami because the Marlins have the stronger offensive numbers and already showed the matchup edge in Friday’s 2-1 win. Miami leads New York in batting average, runs, hits, OBP, and SLG, and the Marlins have been better at home than the Mets have been away. Scott’s strikeout total gives New York a chance, but the 1.47 WHIP and 12 walks in 19.2 innings create risk against a Miami lineup with Otto Lopez batting .340 and Liam Hicks sitting at 42 RBIs. The Mets have scored one run in the most recent game and two runs or fewer in two straight games, so Miami is the better side.
Over/Under Pick for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks
- Under (4 units)
The total pick is Under because the most recent meeting between these teams finished 2-1, and New York’s offense has not given enough steady support. The Mets have scored three total runs across the last two games, and New York’s season batting line of .230 with a .294 OBP points to scoring issues. Miami has allowed 4.33 ERA as a staff, but the Marlins held the Mets down Friday and have an opponent batting average of .229. The Mets can get strikeouts from Scott, while Miami has enough pitching data to support another lower-scoring result if the Marlins limit Soto and Bichette’s RBI chances.
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