Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday May 13 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 05/13/2026, 08:58 AM ET
Marlins vs Twins prediction
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The Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins continue their series Wednesday night after the Twins secured a 3-0 shutout victory in Tuesday’s opener. This rematch features a significant pitching contrast between Max Meyer and Simeon Woods Richardson, giving Miami a strong opportunity to bounce back despite entering as the road favorite. Bettors looking for updated MLB picks should pay close attention to the starting pitching edge in this matchup.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Marlins -1.5
  • Total Pick: Over 8.5
  • Moneyline Pick: Miami -126
  • Projected Final Score: Marlins 6, Twins 3

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Moneyline
Miami -126
Minnesota +104

Current Odds

Team Moneyline
Miami -126
Minnesota +104

Line Movement - Moneyline

Date Time Miami Minnesota Public Betting
05/12 05:40:46 PM -126 +104

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public Betting
05/13 08:11:44 AM 8.5 -118 8.5 -102 UN 100%, UN 100%
05/13 07:17:43 AM 8.5 -115 8.5 -105 UN 100%, UN 100%
05/12 09:17:04 PM 8.5 -110 8.5 -110
05/12 09:16:49 PM 8.5 -112 8.5 -108
05/12 05:40:47 PM 9 +109 9 -131

Marlins vs Twins Betting Preview

Miami enters Wednesday with the clear starting pitching advantage behind Max Meyer, who has quietly developed into one of the most reliable arms in this matchup. Meyer carries a 2-0 record with a 2.79 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 45 strikeouts across 42 innings.

The Marlins were shut out Tuesday night, but their offense still features several productive bats capable of responding quickly. Liam Hicks has been one of Miami’s most important offensive contributors with nine home runs, 35 RBI and a .298 batting average, while Otto Lopez continues producing elite contact numbers with a .337 average and .503 slugging percentage.

Miami’s overall offensive production compares favorably to Minnesota despite the perception gap between these rosters. The Marlins enter this matchup batting .244 with a .322 on-base percentage, which gives them enough consistency to create scoring opportunities against a struggling starter.

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Meyer’s ability to limit hard contact and avoid traffic on the bases gives Miami a strong chance to control this game early. That becomes especially important against a Minnesota pitching staff that has struggled throughout the season.

Minnesota comes into Wednesday riding a three-game winning streak after Tuesday’s 3-0 victory, but the pitching matchup presents a much different challenge this time around. Simeon Woods Richardson has struggled badly this season, posting an 0-5 record with a 6.92 ERA and 1.72 WHIP through 39 innings.

The biggest concern for Woods Richardson has been his inability to limit damage once hitters reach base. He has already allowed eight home runs while issuing 16 walks, creating dangerous situations throughout his starts.

The Twins still possess enough offensive power to remain competitive in this matchup. Byron Buxton leads the club with 13 home runs and 21 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers enters Wednesday hot after homering in Tuesday’s win. Jeffers also leads Minnesota with 25 RBI while batting .299.

Minnesota’s pitching injuries continue to create problems throughout the roster. The Twins remain without Cory Lewis, Garrett Acton, Cole Sands, Julian Merryweather and Cody Laweryson, which increases pressure on Woods Richardson to provide meaningful innings.

  • The Twins have won three straight games.
  • Miami owns a better team ERA than Minnesota at 4.04 compared to 4.51.
  • Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed eight home runs in 39 innings.
  • Max Meyer owns a 2.79 ERA and 45 strikeouts.
  • Ryan Jeffers homered in Tuesday’s victory.
  • Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with 13 home runs.

Key Injuries and Notes - MIA and MIN

  • Miami is without Pete Fairbanks, Griffin Conine, Ronny Henriquez and Jesus Tinoco.
  • Owen Caissie is listed day-to-day for the Marlins.
  • Minnesota remains without Cory Lewis, Garrett Acton, Cole Sands, Julian Merryweather and Cody Laweryson.
  • The Twins pitching depth continues to be impacted heavily by injuries.

Marlins vs Twins ATS and Total Picks

  • Spread Pick: Marlins -1.5
  • Moneyline Pick: Miami -126
  • Total Pick: Over 8.5

Final Score Prediction

Marlins 6, Twins 3

How to Bet

This matchup strongly favors Miami due to the significant difference between the starting pitchers. Max Meyer has consistently limited scoring opportunities, while Simeon Woods Richardson has struggled with walks, home runs and overall command throughout the season.

The over also deserves attention because Minnesota still has enough power to contribute offensively even in a loss. Bettors looking for additional baseball wagering options can explore the top social sportsbooks available now. Players interested in bonus offers should also review the latest fliff promo code before placing wagers.

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