Mariners vs. White Sox Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
Use Code WWWC Seattle (19-21) will look to win the rubber match and take the road series when they wrap up a three-game set against Chicago (18-21) at Rate Field on Sunday afternoon at 2:10 PM ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mariners vs. White Sox prediction. Don't go down on strikes! Get our top MLB Predictions and increase your bankroll!
Logan Gilbert, 2-3, 4.30 ERA, will get the start for the Mariners. The White Sox will counter with Davis Martin, 5-1, 1.64 ERA.
Mariners Looking To Bounce Back And Win The Series
The Mariners finally showed some life against a tough opponent, handing the Braves their first series loss of the season earlier this week. Now Seattle embarks on a seven-game road trip and the beginning of a stretch of 13 straight games without an off day. Despite sitting two games below .500, the Mariners remain in contention in the AL West and badly need a road series win to maintain pace.
The Mariners have a .229 batting average, .319 OBP, and .377 slugging percentage. Seattle's pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Cole Young is the team's best hitter with a .276 batting average and leads the team with 20 RBI, while Cal Raleigh adds a team-high seven home runs.
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The Mariners have won eight of their last nine games against the White Sox and are 5-1 in their last six visits to Chicago.
Gilbert pitched to a 3.07 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 61:18 K:BB across nine starts this season. He allowed just four baserunners over the first six innings of his last start before two walks and a Nelson Velazquez home run ended his outing in the seventh, leading to a loss against the Royals.
White Sox Looking To Win Their First Home Series
The White Sox are in a full rebuild in 2026, but they have quietly played better baseball lately, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. Chicago dropped Friday's series opener 12-8 but bounced back to take Saturday's game and now have a chance to take the series at home on Sunday.
The White Sox have a .229 batting average, .322 OBP, and .380 slugging percentage. Chicago's pitching staff carries a 4.23 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Chase Meidroth is the team's best hitter with a .278 batting average, while Munetaka Murakami leads the team with 28 RBI and 14 home runs.
Murakami blasted his 15th home run of the season in Friday's 12-8 White Sox loss to the Mariners and set big league history in the process. The Japanese slugger has been one of the most exciting power hitters in the American League in his MLB debut season.
Davis Martin has quietly led the White Sox rotation with a 1.64 ERA and 2.46 FIP in seven starts this year. Martin has gone seven innings in back-to-back starts and has done so on fewer than 90 pitches both times, lowering his ERA to 2.16 with a 19:6 K:BB across 25 innings. He does not have swing-and-miss stuff, but his ability to generate weak contact and work deep into games efficiently has made him one of the best stories in baseball so far.
Mariners vs. White Sox Picks
Money Line Pick for Mariners vs. White Sox
- Chicago White Sox ML (4 Units)
The White Sox get the edge here because they have a massive pitching advantage on Sunday. Martin has quietly led the White Sox rotation with a 1.64 ERA and 2.46 FIP in seven starts this year, and he has been one of the most reliable starters in the American League through the first six weeks of the season. Gilbert, by contrast, has been up and down — he was tagged for eight runs on nine hits and two walks over just four innings against the Twins in his previous start before his last outing. With Murakami and the White Sox offense surging at home and Martin in peak form, Chicago has all the ingredients for a series-clinching Sunday win. The underdogs have won seven of the White Sox's last eight games, and fading a struggling Seattle team on the road against a dominant starter is the right call. Take Chicago on the money line.
Over/Under Pick for Mariners vs. White Sox
- Under 7.5 (4 Units)
Six of the White Sox's last seven games as underdogs have gone Under the total runs line, and four of the Mariners' last five games have also gone Under. Martin's profile — low strikeout rate, high ground ball rate, and extreme efficiency — leads to shorter, cleaner innings with fewer baserunners. Gilbert, when he is on, is also capable of keeping games low-scoring. The Mariners rank first in the league in walks allowed this season, which means traffic can pile up, but Martin is too sharp to let that become a problem. With both teams trending heavily toward the Under and a ground-ball specialist on the mound for Chicago, expect this one to stay quiet. Take the Under.
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