Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday July 22 2026

Today's Dodgers vs Phillies picks for Wednesday, July 22, 2026, come from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Los Angeles enters at 64-38, while Philadelphia is 56-46 in another high-outlook National League matchup.

The Dodgers are short road favorites behind Eric Lauer, while the Phillies counter with Aaron Nola. The total is 9.5, which creates a different betting question than a typical Nola home start. For additional hitter and pitcher markets, check our MLB player props, and use our MLB predictions hub for the full card.

Best Available Odds for Dodgers vs Phillies

• Moneyline: Dodgers -118 | Phillies +100
• Run Line/Spread: Dodgers -1.5, check live price | Phillies +1.5, check live price
• Total: 9.5, check live juice

Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
• Time: 6:40 p.m. EDT
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia and SportsNet LA
• Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs Aaron Nola

Dodgers vs Phillies Preview

Los Angeles has the better full-season record and the deeper lineup, which explains why the Dodgers are favored on the road. The price is not inflated, but the matchup total is the more appealing angle because 9.5 gives room to bet against a shootout.

Philadelphia's lineup can punish mistakes, especially at Citizens Bank Park, so this is not a blind under. The Phillies can get to Lauer if he leaves fastballs over the plate. The question is whether both offenses are likely to clear a high number with Nola also capable of correcting his season-long struggles.

The Dodgers' side case is real, but the road moneyline is not dramatically better than the total. Los Angeles can win a 5-3 or 5-4 game without the over getting there, and that is the exact score range the under needs.

The MLB betting trends support the lower side because both clubs have shown enough lower-scoring indicators to make 9.5 feel inflated. The baseball reason is simple: two veteran starters, a high number and a matchup that does not require either lineup to explode.

Pitching Matchup

Lauer's 4.80 ERA means Philadelphia will have chances. His job is to control the left-handed power spots, avoid walks and keep the Dodgers from needing heavy bullpen coverage too early.

Nola's 5.68 ERA is higher than expected, but his track record still matters. If he commands the breaking ball, he can keep the Dodgers to scattered damage rather than sustained rallies.

Game Thesis: The Dodgers are the side, but Under 9.5 is the best bet because the number is high for a game that can land in the 5-3 range. Los Angeles has more lineup depth, while Philadelphia has enough pitching upside to keep the total down. Projected final: Dodgers 5, Phillies 3.

Dodgers vs Phillies Best Bet - Total: Under 9.5

Under 9.5 is the best bet because it gives us a strong number in a matchup with two starters capable of better than their worst ERA stretches. The Dodgers can win without needing a runaway offensive night.

The risk is the ballpark. Citizens Bank Park can punish mistakes, and both lineups have power. Still, 9.5 is high enough to back a more controlled scoring script.

Dodgers vs Phillies Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (-118)

Los Angeles is the moneyline pick because the Dodgers are the better team and are priced reasonably for a road favorite. It is a good lean, but the total is stronger.

Dodgers vs Phillies Total Pick: Under 9.5

The total pick is Under 9.5. The projected 5-3 Dodgers win leaves room for late bullpen traffic while still staying below the number.

Top Player Prop Angles for Dodgers vs Phillies

Aaron Nola strikeouts: Nola strikeouts are worth checking because he can still miss bats even when run prevention has been uneven.

Eric Lauer outs under: Lauer outs under is viable if Philadelphia forces early traffic and pushes up his pitch count.

Shohei Ohtani total bases: Ohtani total bases are the top Dodgers hitter angle because one extra-base hit can cash even in an under game.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 5, Philadelphia Phillies 3