Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 11, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 07/11/2026, 05:00 AM ET
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The Los Angeles Angels visit the Minnesota Twins on Saturday at 2:10 PM ET at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Los Angeles enters at 37-57 and sits fifth in the AL West, while Minnesota is 46-48 and third in the AL Central. The Twins have won four of their last five games despite dropping their most recent contest, while the Angels have lost four of their last five and continue searching for consistency. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.

Los Angeles Angels Looking to Snap Their Recent Slide

The Angels rank 20th in MLB with a .240 team batting average and have scored 421 runs through 94 games. They have collected 759 hits, 107 home runs, a .315 on-base percentage, and a .393 slugging percentage. Zach Neto leads the club with 19 home runs, while Jo Adell has driven in a team-high 53 runs and collected 91 hits. Nolan Schanuel continues to provide consistency with a .269 batting average, and Mike Trout owns the club's highest on-base percentage at .388 while adding 18 home runs. 

The Angels have battled inconsistency on the mound as well. Los Angeles ranks 24th in MLB with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .237. Angels pitchers have recorded 826 strikeouts but have also issued 411 walks, creating too many extra scoring opportunities. 

Injuries: Grayson Rodriguez (15-Day IL), Adam Frazier (10-Day IL), Gustavo Campero (10-Day IL), Ben Joyce (60-Day IL), Travis d'Arnaud (60-Day IL).

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Minnesota Twins Looking to Climb Back Above .500

Minnesota has produced a balanced offense, ranking ninth in MLB with a .247 team batting average. The Twins have scored 459 runs while collecting 786 hits, 118 home runs, a .322 on-base percentage, and a .414 slugging percentage. Byron Buxton leads the club with 25 home runs despite currently being on the injured list, while Josh Bell has driven in 60 runs. Brooks Lee has contributed 14 home runs, Trevor Larnach is batting .281, and Kody Clemens has added 16 home runs. 

The Twins have not matched that offensive production on the mound. Minnesota ranks 25th in MLB with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .252. Even so, the rotation has been steadier recently, and Joe Ryan continues to give Minnesota a significant advantage whenever he starts. 

Injuries: Cole Sands (15-Day IL), Ryan Jeffers (10-Day IL), Byron Buxton (10-Day IL), Marco Raya (15-Day IL), Connor Prielipp (15-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Los Angeles Angels – Ryan Johnson

Johnson is 1-4 with a 6.99 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP across 28.1 innings. The rookie right-hander has allowed 34 hits and eight home runs while striking out 24 batters. Johnson has shown flashes of solid stuff but has struggled to limit hard contact and has rarely worked deep into games.

Minnesota Twins – Joe Ryan

Ryan is 6-5 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 104.1 innings. He has surrendered just 85 hits while striking out 122 batters against only 23 walks. Ryan continues to be Minnesota's most dependable starter and has consistently kept opposing offenses from generating sustained rallies.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

  • Minnesota Twins

Minnesota owns the clear advantage in the pitching matchup, and that should be enough to secure another home victory. Joe Ryan has been one of the American League's most reliable starters this season, while Ryan Johnson has struggled to prevent runs and home runs throughout his limited workload. The Twins also enter with the stronger offense, ranking ninth in baseball in batting average and producing 38 more runs than the Angels. With Minnesota playing better baseball over the past week and Ryan taking the mound, the Twins are the play.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Over/Under Pick

  • Under

Joe Ryan has consistently limited scoring opportunities this season, and Minnesota should be able to control this matchup if he delivers another quality outing. While Johnson has struggled, the Angels have not generated consistent offense during their recent slide, averaging fewer than four runs per game over their last five contests. Ryan's ability to miss bats combined with Los Angeles' recent offensive struggles points toward a lower-scoring matchup, making the under the play.

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