Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 31 2026

By: Al MacMillan Updated 07/31/2026, 08:52 AM ET

Tonight's Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers picks feature Ranger Suarez against Edgardo Henriquez in a near pick'em matchup. Los Angeles has moved to approximately -122 after the Dodgers starter was confirmed, while Boston remains around -110 at some books. The strongest common angle is a lower-scoring game. Readers can also review our MLB player props coverage and daily MLB picks and predictions before first pitch.

Best Available Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Moneyline: Boston Red Sox -110 | Los Angeles Dodgers -122
  • Total: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 p.m. EDT
  • Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
  • TV: SportsNet LA and NESN
  • Probable Pitchers: Ranger Suarez vs Edgardo Henriquez

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

Boston has played strong road baseball and brings the more established starter into the matchup. Los Angeles still owns the deeper lineup and home bullpen, allowing the Dodgers to remain competitive even if Henriquez provides only moderate length. Both teams have enough pitching to prevent the game from becoming an automatic slugfest.

The MLB betting trends provide one of the clearest lower-scoring combinations on the board. Boston games have gone under in 58 of 104 decisions, while Dodgers home games have produced 31 unders against 22 overs. Los Angeles home team totals have also gone under in 34 of 53 decisions.

The earlier market showed both teams around -110 with the total at 8.5 while the Dodgers starter was still unconfirmed. The current snapshot has Los Angeles at -122 and Boston near -110 after Henriquez was listed. The total has remained steady despite the side movement.

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Pitching Matchup

Suarez is 4-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 103 strikeouts. His command and ability to change speeds give Boston a strong chance to control the early innings. The Dodgers can challenge him with right-handed power, but Suarez should limit free baserunners.

Henriquez is 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 42 strikeouts. His smaller workload creates more uncertainty than Suarez's, but Los Angeles can support him with a deep bullpen. Boston must force Henriquez into the zone and avoid quick innings.

Game Thesis: Both teams have strong lower-scoring records in the relevant splits, while Los Angeles has the deeper late-game structure. A 4-3 Dodgers win supports the under and the home moneyline.

Best Bet - Under 8.5 (-110)

The under is the best bet because Boston's overall totals and Los Angeles home totals have both leaned lower. Suarez can limit the Dodgers, while Henriquez and the Los Angeles bullpen can keep Boston from producing a large road total. A 4-3 finish leaves a full run beneath the number.

Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (-122)

Los Angeles is the secondary pick because the Dodgers have the deeper lineup, stronger late-inning structure, and home-field advantage. Suarez keeps Boston competitive, but Los Angeles has more ways to create the decisive run in a close game. The -122 price remains reasonable.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 4, Boston Red Sox 3

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