2026 MLB Team Betting Trends: Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Rankings

By: Alex MacMillan Updated 10/09/2026, 02:23 PM ET
Fact Checked by Devin Erickson-Sheehy

The 2026 MLB betting board remains in postseason mode. Milwaukee has taken over the run-line lead at 86-80, +17.25u and +9.1%; Tampa Bay remains first in moneyline ROI at 101-64, +24.95u and +11.7%; the Chicago White Sox lead full-game Over ROI at +11.2%; and Washington remains the strongest first-five run-line team at 100-62, +30.95u and +16.2%.

The team tables use the current all-games source, which may include postseason games for active playoff teams. The independently supplied EVAnalytics tracker matches the six core team tables exactly on this update. The postseason-only snapshot is kept separate so current playoff scoring patterns are not confused with the broader 2026 rankings.

2026 MLB Postseason Snapshot

The postseason sample now covers 24 completed games through October 8, 2026: all nine Wild Card games plus 15 Division Series games. Division Series scoring remains lower than the Wild Card round, while the home-team advantage visible earlier in the postseason has disappeared.

  • First-inning scoring: 12 of 24 playoff games had at least one first-inning run (50.0%). The Division Series alone is 6 of 15 (40.0%).
  • Through five innings: 9 of 24 postseason games reached at least five combined runs by the end of the fifth; the Division Series is 4 of 15 (26.7%).
  • Home teams: 12-12 overall and 6-9 in the Division Series.
  • Full-game scoring: 171 runs across 24 games, or 7.1 per game. Division Series scoring is 6.4 runs per game versus 8.3 in the Wild Card round.

For longer-term context, the workbook's consolidated postseason ledger now covers 195 games. Across that sample, first-five underdogs show +20.64 units and +11.3% ROI over 182 priced wagers, while YRFI is +7.52 units and +3.9% over 195. In the Division Series subset, first-five underdogs are +23.5% ROI over 77 priced wagers, while home moneylines have slipped to +1.0% ROI over 81. These are historical results, not a guarantee or a standalone betting recommendation.

Milwaukee moved from fourth to first on the run line at 86-80, +17.25u and +9.1%. Tampa Bay is second at +9.0%, the Yankees slipped from first to third at +8.9%, and San Diego is fourth. Seattle remains the weakest run-line result at -20.8%.

RankTeamATS RecordUnitsROI
1Milwaukee Brewers86-80+17.25u+9.1%
2Tampa Bay Rays86-76+18.10u+9.0%
3New York Yankees85-80+16.85u+8.9%
4San Diego Padres93-72+16.30u+7.4%
5Atlanta Braves85-83+8.25u+4.2%
6Washington Nationals91-69+8.20u+3.7%
7Chicago White Sox94-71+8.00u+3.4%
8Baltimore Orioles85-75+5.30u+2.5%
9Arizona Diamondbacks84-73-0.35u-0.2%
10St. Louis Cardinals87-72-1.85u-0.8%
11Houston Astros84-80-1.90u-0.9%
12Miami Marlins84-76-3.15u-1.5%
13Detroit Tigers77-79-6.55u-3.1%
14Pittsburgh Pirates78-80-7.00u-3.4%
15Minnesota Twins85-75-8.70u-3.8%
16Chicago Cubs76-86-7.40u-3.9%
17Boston Red Sox76-84-9.15u-4.5%
18Toronto Blue Jays79-82-9.60u-4.6%
19Cleveland Guardians79-86-11.05u-5.2%
20Colorado Rockies83-79-10.55u-5.2%
21Cincinnati Reds83-77-13.30u-6.0%
22Texas Rangers74-84-17.65u-8.4%
23New York Mets73-87-18.00u-8.9%
24San Francisco Giants79-81-21.10u-9.5%
25Athletics78-84-23.90u-11.2%
26Los Angeles Angels80-81-25.45u-11.3%
27Los Angeles Dodgers74-91-22.90u-11.6%
28Kansas City Royals75-81-27.65u-12.3%
29Philadelphia Phillies68-96-36.35u-18.6%
30Seattle Mariners60-101-39.30u-20.8%

Tampa Bay remains the moneyline leader at 101-64, +24.95u and +11.7%. Milwaukee stays second at +9.8%, San Diego moved to third, and the White Sox slipped to fourth. The Angels remain last at -15.7%, with Seattle close behind.

RankTeamRecordUnitsROI
1Tampa Bay Rays101-64+24.95u+11.7%
2Milwaukee Brewers106-60+24.10u+9.8%
3San Diego Padres94-74+14.75u+7.1%
4Chicago White Sox88-80+12.55u+6.7%
5Arizona Diamondbacks86-76+8.55u+4.5%
6Atlanta Braves97-72+6.80u+3.0%
7Washington Nationals77-85+3.20u+1.8%
8Miami Marlins80-82+0.30u+0.2%
9Cleveland Guardians87-79-2.35u-1.1%
10St. Louis Cardinals77-85-2.75u-1.6%
11New York Yankees95-71-4.25u-1.8%
12Cincinnati Reds75-87-5.75u-3.2%
13Chicago Cubs89-75-7.55u-3.4%
14Philadelphia Phillies89-76-8.95u-3.6%
15Boston Red Sox87-77-9.20u-4.3%
16Minnesota Twins77-85-7.75u-4.3%
17Los Angeles Dodgers103-63-14.15u-4.3%
18Pittsburgh Pirates82-80-8.80u-4.4%
19Baltimore Orioles79-82-9.20u-4.9%
20Texas Rangers80-82-12.20u-6.3%
21Houston Astros81-83-14.15u-7.1%
22Toronto Blue Jays79-83-15.10u-7.5%
23Detroit Tigers76-86-22.50u-11.2%
24Colorado Rockies58-104-19.05u-11.7%
25Kansas City Royals69-93-23.00u-12.8%
26Athletics64-98-25.30u-14.3%
27New York Mets74-88-28.55u-14.4%
28San Francisco Giants65-97-26.30u-14.8%
29Seattle Mariners76-86-34.15u-15.6%
30Los Angeles Angels62-100-27.00u-15.7%

Best Over Teams

The White Sox strengthened their full-game Over lead to 97-69-2, +20.80u and +11.2%. Minnesota and the Cubs remain second and third.

RankTeamOver Record (O-U-P)Over UnitsOver ROI
1Chicago White Sox97-69-2+20.80u+11.2%
2Minnesota Twins88-64-10+16.85u+9.4%
3Chicago Cubs91-69-4+15.70u+8.7%
4Seattle Mariners86-67-9+12.40u+6.9%
5Texas Rangers85-68-9+10.80u+6.0%
6Washington Nationals85-69-8+9.65u+5.4%
7Athletics84-72-6+5.45u+3.1%
8Cincinnati Reds84-74-4+2.25u+1.3%
9Houston Astros81-72-11+0.90u+0.5%
10Pittsburgh Pirates81-74-7-0.40u-0.2%
11Miami Marlins82-75-5-0.85u-0.5%
12Toronto Blue Jays81-77-4-3.45u-1.9%
13Baltimore Orioles80-77-4-4.70u-2.6%
14New York Mets76-73-13-5.25u-2.9%
15San Francisco Giants75-73-14-5.50u-3.1%
16Philadelphia Phillies78-78-9-7.60u-4.2%
17New York Yankees79-81-6-10.60u-5.8%
18Cleveland Guardians80-84-2-11.45u-6.3%
19Colorado Rockies77-80-5-11.90u-6.6%
20St. Louis Cardinals75-80-7-13.65u-7.6%
21San Diego Padres78-84-6-14.40u-7.8%
22Atlanta Braves76-83-10-15.35u-8.2%
23Tampa Bay Rays75-83-7-16.00u-8.8%
24Kansas City Royals73-84-5-18.85u-10.6%
25Boston Red Sox74-86-4-21.30u-11.7%
26Milwaukee Brewers73-87-6-22.00u-12.1%
27Detroit Tigers70-84-8-22.25u-12.5%
28Arizona Diamondbacks71-85-6-22.60u-12.6%
29Los Angeles Angels71-87-4-24.15u-13.6%
30Los Angeles Dodgers72-89-5-26.35u-14.4%

Best Under Teams

The Dodgers moved into the full-game Under lead at +5.4%, passing the Angels at +5.1%. Arizona, Detroit and Milwaukee round out the current top five.

RankTeamUnder Record (O-U-P)Under UnitsUnder ROI
1Los Angeles Dodgers72-89-5+9.90u+5.4%
2Los Angeles Angels71-87-4+9.05u+5.1%
3Arizona Diamondbacks71-85-6+7.40u+4.2%
4Detroit Tigers70-84-8+7.30u+4.1%
5Milwaukee Brewers73-87-6+7.05u+3.9%
6Boston Red Sox74-86-4+4.85u+2.7%
7Kansas City Royals73-84-5+4.40u+2.5%
8Atlanta Braves76-83-10+0.75u+0.4%
9Tampa Bay Rays75-83-7+0.10u+0.1%
10San Diego Padres78-84-6-1.15u-0.6%
11St. Louis Cardinals75-80-7-2.35u-1.3%
12Colorado Rockies77-80-5-3.55u-2.0%
13Cleveland Guardians80-84-2-4.90u-2.6%
14New York Yankees79-81-6-5.65u-3.1%
15Philadelphia Phillies78-78-9-7.40u-4.1%
16San Francisco Giants75-73-14-9.25u-5.2%
17Baltimore Orioles80-77-4-10.00u-5.7%
18New York Mets76-73-13-10.70u-6.0%
19Toronto Blue Jays81-77-4-11.95u-6.7%
20Pittsburgh Pirates81-74-7-14.75u-8.3%
21Miami Marlins82-75-5-14.75u-8.3%
22Houston Astros81-72-11-16.80u-9.4%
23Cincinnati Reds84-74-4-18.00u-10.1%
24Athletics84-72-6-20.05u-11.2%
25Washington Nationals85-69-8-24.05u-13.5%
26Texas Rangers85-68-9-24.60u-13.8%
27Seattle Mariners86-67-9-27.20u-15.3%
28Chicago Cubs91-69-4-30.40u-16.9%
29Minnesota Twins88-64-10-32.90u-18.5%
30Chicago White Sox97-69-2-37.80u-20.5%

Best Team-Total Over Teams

Washington remains first on team-total Overs at +3.6%. Milwaukee is second at +3.0%, followed by the White Sox.

RankTeamTeam-Total Record (O-U)Over UnitsOver ROI
1Washington Nationals89-73+6.85u+3.6%
2Milwaukee Brewers90-76+5.70u+3.0%
3Chicago White Sox92-76+5.50u+2.8%
4Chicago Cubs90-74+4.70u+2.4%
5Arizona Diamondbacks87-75+2.35u+1.2%
6St. Louis Cardinals87-75+1.90u+1.0%
7Minnesota Twins87-75+0.70u+0.4%
8San Diego Padres89-79-0.25u-0.1%
9Baltimore Orioles84-77-3.50u-1.9%
10Tampa Bay Rays86-79-5.45u-2.8%
11Pittsburgh Pirates84-78-5.85u-3.0%
12Atlanta Braves87-82-6.05u-3.1%
13Cleveland Guardians86-80-6.60u-3.3%
14Detroit Tigers81-81-10.35u-5.5%
15Colorado Rockies82-80-11.55u-6.0%
16Miami Marlins79-83-14.45u-7.5%
17Boston Red Sox79-85-16.30u-8.5%
18Texas Rangers78-84-19.45u-10.2%
19Houston Astros77-87-19.65u-10.4%
20Philadelphia Phillies78-87-20.55u-10.7%
21San Francisco Giants76-86-23.95u-12.4%
22New York Yankees76-90-24.70u-13.0%
23Toronto Blue Jays74-88-26.60u-13.8%
24Seattle Mariners74-88-28.35u-14.7%
25Athletics74-88-28.75u-15.1%
26Kansas City Royals73-89-30.60u-15.9%
27Cincinnati Reds73-89-30.75u-16.1%
28Los Angeles Angels69-93-38.80u-20.2%
29New York Mets70-92-39.35u-20.3%
30Los Angeles Dodgers69-97-42.95u-21.9%

Best Team-Total Under Teams

The Dodgers still lead team-total Unders at +10.5%, ahead of the Angels and Mets.

RankTeamTeam-Total Record (O-U)Under UnitsUnder ROI
1Los Angeles Dodgers69-97+20.20u+10.5%
2Los Angeles Angels69-93+15.30u+8.0%
3New York Mets70-92+14.50u+7.7%
4Kansas City Royals73-89+7.60u+4.1%
5Seattle Mariners74-88+6.05u+3.2%
6Cincinnati Reds73-89+5.50u+2.9%
7Toronto Blue Jays74-88+5.15u+2.7%
8Athletics74-88+2.50u+1.3%
9New York Yankees76-90+0.95u+0.5%
10San Francisco Giants76-86-0.15u-0.1%
11Philadelphia Phillies78-87-1.10u-0.6%
12Houston Astros77-87-2.90u-1.5%
13Texas Rangers78-84-3.20u-1.7%
14Miami Marlins79-83-5.15u-2.7%
15Boston Red Sox79-85-5.30u-2.7%
16Detroit Tigers81-81-11.85u-6.2%
17Colorado Rockies82-80-12.05u-6.5%
18Atlanta Braves87-82-16.85u-8.5%
19Cleveland Guardians86-80-17.15u-8.9%
20Tampa Bay Rays86-79-18.85u-9.8%
21Pittsburgh Pirates84-78-18.50u-9.8%
22Baltimore Orioles84-77-19.20u-10.2%
23Minnesota Twins87-75-23.85u-12.7%
24San Diego Padres89-79-25.20u-12.7%
25St. Louis Cardinals87-75-24.05u-12.7%
26Arizona Diamondbacks87-75-24.30u-12.7%
27Milwaukee Brewers90-76-27.60u-14.0%
28Chicago White Sox92-76-28.10u-14.3%
29Washington Nationals89-73-28.65u-15.0%
30Chicago Cubs90-74-29.25u-15.3%

Washington remains the clear first-five run-line leader at 100-62, +30.95u and +16.2%. Tampa Bay is second at +9.7%, while San Diego and the White Sox remain third and fourth.

RankTeamFirst-5 ATS RecordUnitsROI
1Washington Nationals100-62+30.95u+16.2%
2Tampa Bay Rays97-68+19.30u+9.7%
3San Diego Padres95-73+9.55u+4.8%
4Chicago White Sox94-74+9.45u+4.7%
5St. Louis Cardinals92-70+8.75u+4.5%
6Atlanta Braves90-79+2.85u+1.4%
7Los Angeles Angels88-74+2.30u+1.2%
8Milwaukee Brewers87-78+1.25u+0.6%
9Detroit Tigers86-75+0.15u+0.1%
10Pittsburgh Pirates85-77-3.65u-1.9%
11Cleveland Guardians83-83-9.00u-4.7%
12Minnesota Twins82-80-9.90u-5.1%
13San Francisco Giants83-79-11.30u-5.7%
14Miami Marlins81-81-14.95u-7.7%
15Baltimore Orioles78-83-16.20u-8.5%
16Cincinnati Reds80-82-17.70u-9.0%
17New York Yankees80-86-17.35u-9.0%
18Chicago Cubs78-86-20.10u-10.4%
19Arizona Diamondbacks76-85-21.70u-11.2%
20Los Angeles Dodgers79-87-22.50u-11.4%
21Philadelphia Phillies77-88-22.80u-11.8%
22Kansas City Royals76-86-23.25u-11.9%
23Texas Rangers75-87-23.55u-12.3%
24Toronto Blue Jays75-87-25.20u-13.2%
25Boston Red Sox74-90-27.05u-14.0%
26Colorado Rockies72-89-27.40u-14.7%
27Houston Astros74-90-30.90u-15.7%
28Athletics72-90-29.60u-15.8%
29New York Mets72-90-31.20u-16.2%
30Seattle Mariners70-92-33.80u-17.9%

Best First-5 Over Teams

Texas still leads first-five Over ROI at +9.7%. Minnesota is second, and the White Sox moved into third at +3.4%.

RankTeamFirst-5 Record (O-U-P)Over UnitsOver ROI
1Texas Rangers92-65-5+18.05u+9.7%
2Minnesota Twins88-66-8+11.75u+6.2%
3Chicago White Sox90-72-6+6.60u+3.4%
4Chicago Cubs89-73-2+5.55u+3.0%
5Houston Astros84-68-12+5.45u+2.9%
6Milwaukee Brewers86-74-6+0.85u+0.4%
7Washington Nationals83-72-7+0.35u+0.2%
8New York Mets83-75-4-3.15u-1.7%
9Colorado Rockies80-73-9-4.10u-2.2%
10Arizona Diamondbacks80-74-8-5.80u-3.1%
11Los Angeles Angels80-75-7-5.90u-3.1%
12Detroit Tigers78-75-9-7.15u-3.8%
13Philadelphia Phillies81-78-6-7.25u-3.9%
14Athletics79-77-6-7.65u-4.1%
15Atlanta Braves82-81-6-10.40u-5.3%
16Pittsburgh Pirates79-77-6-10.05u-5.4%
17Boston Red Sox78-77-9-10.15u-5.4%
18Baltimore Orioles74-73-14-10.15u-5.4%
19San Francisco Giants77-78-7-12.60u-6.7%
20Miami Marlins78-80-4-13.05u-7.0%
21Cincinnati Reds77-79-6-13.20u-7.1%
22Seattle Mariners74-77-11-15.30u-8.1%
23Kansas City Royals77-82-3-15.95u-8.5%
24Tampa Bay Rays75-81-9-17.00u-9.0%
25Cleveland Guardians72-82-12-21.95u-11.5%
26Los Angeles Dodgers76-86-4-22.25u-11.6%
27St. Louis Cardinals69-85-8-30.05u-16.0%
28San Diego Padres73-90-5-32.10u-16.4%
29New York Yankees69-88-9-32.25u-16.9%
30Toronto Blue Jays65-89-8-38.30u-20.3%

Best First-5 Under Teams

Toronto remains first on first-five Unders at +8.3%, followed by the Yankees and San Diego.

RankTeamFirst-5 Record (O-U-P)Under UnitsUnder ROI
1Toronto Blue Jays65-89-8+15.35u+8.3%
2New York Yankees69-88-9+8.00u+4.2%
3San Diego Padres73-90-5+7.05u+3.7%
4St. Louis Cardinals69-85-8+5.50u+3.0%
5Cleveland Guardians72-82-12+0.30u+0.2%
6Los Angeles Dodgers76-86-4-0.20u-0.1%
7Kansas City Royals77-82-3-5.10u-2.7%
8Tampa Bay Rays75-81-9-5.60u-2.9%
9Seattle Mariners74-77-11-7.05u-3.8%
10San Francisco Giants77-78-7-8.78u-4.7%
11Cincinnati Reds77-79-6-9.40u-5.0%
12Miami Marlins78-80-4-9.75u-5.2%
13Baltimore Orioles74-73-14-10.90u-5.9%
14Atlanta Braves82-81-6-11.88u-6.1%
15Boston Red Sox78-77-9-12.65u-6.7%
16Athletics79-77-6-13.35u-7.1%
17Pittsburgh Pirates79-77-6-14.35u-7.7%
18Detroit Tigers78-75-9-15.15u-8.1%
19Los Angeles Angels80-75-7-15.55u-8.4%
20Philadelphia Phillies81-78-6-16.60u-8.6%
21Arizona Diamondbacks80-74-8-16.50u-9.0%
22Colorado Rockies80-73-9-17.70u-9.6%
23New York Mets83-75-4-21.60u-11.5%
24Milwaukee Brewers86-74-6-23.80u-12.5%
25Washington Nationals83-72-7-23.40u-12.5%
26Houston Astros84-68-12-27.30u-14.6%
27Chicago White Sox90-72-6-30.00u-15.7%
28Chicago Cubs89-73-2-30.65u-16.1%
29Minnesota Twins88-66-8-34.10u-18.4%
30Texas Rangers92-65-5-40.95u-21.8%

Methodology

Tables are ranked by the relevant ROI field in the current all-games source. Side markets use the overall record, Units and ROI. Over and Under tables are ranked separately by their respective ROI, and pushes are retained in the displayed O-U-P record where the source tracks them. The current EVAnalytics tracker and compiled workbook agree exactly across the six core team-level sheets. The postseason snapshot uses only completed playoff games and is presented separately from the broader all-games team rankings.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which MLB team has the best run line trend in 2026?

Milwaukee is first in the current all-games run-line table at 86-80, +17.25u and +9.1%.

Which teams should bettors fade right now?

Seattle has the weakest run-line ROI at -20.8%. On the moneyline, the Angels rank last at -15.7%, with Seattle close behind.

What is the difference between the run line and the moneyline?

The run line applies a run spread, typically plus or minus 1.5 runs. The moneyline grades only whether the team wins the game outright.

Which teams are the strongest Over plays?

The White Sox lead full-game Over ROI at +11.2%, while Washington leads team-total Over ROI at +3.6%.

Which teams are the best Under plays?

The Dodgers lead full-game Under ROI at +5.4% and team-total Under ROI at +10.5%.

Yes. First-five markets isolate the opening five innings and produce different leaders. Washington's 100-62 first-five run-line record and +16.2% ROI remains the clearest example.

The team tables can move as postseason games are added to the source. The playoff-only snapshot is also refreshed as completed postseason games become available.

How is ROI calculated?

ROI is return divided by units staked for the tracked market. The tables preserve the recorded market returns rather than applying a separate predictive adjustment.

Season-long and postseason-adjusted records are one input into our predictions and wagers. For current matchup analysis, see our MLB Predictions.

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