Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
Use Code WWWC Sunday afternoon MLB action, and we have an Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles prediction to dissect. This is game three of a three-game series from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The A's won game one by a score of 4-3, and they followed that up with a 6-2 win in game two. They are now 21-18 on the year and surprisingly atop the AL West. Baltimore has now lost three in a row and 8 of their last 10 to fall to 17-23 on the year. Can the A's complete the sweep? Read on to see my Athletics vs Orioles prediction.
Pitching Probables: The Athletics will trot out Luis Severino, who has gone 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA on the year and he will be opposed by Chris Bassitt, who is 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA.
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The A's Lead The AL West
Sacramento rolls into the series finale playing some of their best baseball of the season, taking the first two games in Baltimore by scores of 4–3 and 6–2 to move to 21–18 and — somehow — sit atop the AL West. The offense has been steady all year, hitting .251 with a .732 OPS and 4.49 runs per game, and they’ve shown enough pop with 44 homers to punish mistakes. The pitching staff is still a mixed bag — a 4.47 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and one of the lowest quality‑start totals in baseball — but they’ve tightened things up in this series, holding a strong Orioles lineup to just five total runs across two games. Sacramento’s defense has also been sharp, committing only eight errors, tied for the fewest in MLB.
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Luis Severino gets the ball, and he’s been a roller coaster so far. Overall, he sits at 2–3 with a 4.15 ERA, but his road numbers have been a bit better (3.60 ERA in five starts), even if the 1.60 WHIP shows he’s still living dangerously with traffic. The key for the A’s is simple: keep Severino out of the big inning, lean on an offense that’s been consistently competitive, and avoid giving Baltimore extra chances — because the Orioles usually cash them in. If Sacramento continues to get timely hitting and Severino gives them something close to a clean five or six innings, they’ll have a real shot at finishing off a surprising road sweep.
The Orioles Are Struggling
Baltimore is searching for answers after dropping the first two games of the series — 4–3 in the opener and 6–2 in game two — extending their skid to three straight losses and eight of their last ten. At 17–23, the Orioles haven’t found the rhythm they expected, especially on the mound, where they carry a 4.84 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and one of the lowest quality‑start totals in baseball. Offensively, they’ve been inconsistent as well: 4.47 runs per game, a .233 average, and a .704 OPS, with the power (42 homers) showing up in spurts rather than stretches. The defense hasn’t helped either — 26 errors, one of the highest totals in the league — and those extra chances have cost them repeatedly during this slide.
Chris Bassitt gets the ball, and he’s been fighting it through his first seven starts with a 5.91 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP, though his home numbers offer a bit more optimism (3.45 ERA in three starts at Camden Yards). He’s still allowing too many baserunners, and Baltimore can’t afford another short outing with the bullpen already stretched. The keys here are straightforward: Bassitt needs to get ahead in counts, the defense has to clean up the mistakes that have plagued them, and the lineup must apply early pressure to a Sacramento staff that’s been hittable all season. If the Orioles can finally pair a competent start with timely offense, they’ll give themselves a chance to avoid the sweep and stop the bleeding.
Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Pick
Athletics vs Orioles Moneyline Pick
- Athletics -110 (4 Units)
The A’s at -110 is a perfectly reasonable play because they’re simply the steadier, more confident team right now, and it shows in every phase. Sacramento has taken the first two games in Baltimore with clean, timely baseball, while the Orioles look like a club pressing through an extended slump. Luis Severino isn’t perfect, but he has been noticeably better on the road, carrying a 3.60 ERA away from home compared to his rougher outings at Sutter Health Park. Bassitt, meanwhile, has been fighting command and traffic all season, and Baltimore’s defense hasn’t helped him with all the extra outs they’ve given away. With the A’s swinging it well, playing sharp defense, and getting just enough pitching to back it up, they feel like the side with momentum — and the one more likely to close out the series.
Athletics vs Orioles Over/Under Pick
- Under 9.5 (5 Units)
The Under 9.5 lines up well with how both pitchers profile in this matchup, especially when you break down their home‑and‑road splits. Luis Severino has been far more comfortable away from Sacramento, carrying a 3.60 ERA on the road compared to a 4.91 mark at home, and his strikeout rate travels with him. Chris Bassitt has been the opposite — shaky on the road but much steadier at Camden Yards, where he owns a 3.45 ERA and has kept the ball in the park. Neither offense is exactly rolling right now, and with both starters in their better environments, this sets up as the kind of game where traffic doesn’t automatically turn into crooked numbers. If the bullpens avoid a meltdown, the pitching splits alone give this total a real chance to stay under.
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