Texas State Bobcats vs Marshall Thundering Herd Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 18, 2025

The Texas State Bobcats (3-3. 0-2 Sun Belt) visit Joan C Edwards Stadium in Huntington, West Virginia, to play the Marshall Thundering Herd (3-3, 1-1 Sun Belt) on Saturday in a Sun Belt conference clash at 3:30pmET. Texas State lost to Troy 48-41 on Oct. 11, and has lost two straight and three of the last four. The Bobcats are sixth in the West Division of the Sun Belt. Marshall defeated Old Dominion 48-24 last time out and has won three of the last four. The Thundering Herd are third in the East Division of the Sun Belt. Texas State has eight players listed as questionable. Marshall has five players listed as questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Texas State Bobcats vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction. Game day edge is here—check out our top NCAAF picks for the Texas State Bobcats at Marshall Thundering Herd prediction today.

Texas State scores plenty, but gives up far too many

The Texas State Bobcats score an average of 36.0 (31st) points per game and allow an average of 29.8 (111th) points per game. Texas State gains an average of 250.2 yards rushing and 228.0 yards passing for 476.2 yards per game of total offense, which is 14th. The Texas State defense allows an average of 158.8 yards rushing and 235.8 yards passing for 394.7 yards per game, which is 102nd.

Texas State quarterback Brad Jackson has 1,342 yards passing with seven touchdowns and one interception. Jackson has been sacked 10 times. Lincoln Pare leads the Bobcats in rushing with 581 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Beau Sparks leads all receivers for Texas State with 506 yards and five touchdown receptions. Kicker Tyler Robles is 25-for-26 in extra points and 7-for-9 in field goals. Linebacker Treylin Payne is the leader in tackles with 42, and end Kalil Alexander is the leader in quarterback sacks with 3.0. Texas State's defense has made 17 sacks and intercepted one pass.

Marshall looking for the push

The Marshall Thundering Herd scores an average of 34.3 points per game and allows an average of 29.8 points per game, which are 42nd and 111th, respectively. Marshall averages 376.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 77th, while the defense allows an average of 389.5 yards per game, which is 96th.

Marshall quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has 856 yards passing with 11 touchdowns and has not been intercepted in 89 passes thrown. Michael Allen leads all rushers for Marshall with 310 yards and three touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Demarcus Lacey has 396yards receiving with four touchdown receptions to lead Marshall. Kicker Lorcan Quinn has converted each of his 26 extra point attempts and is 8 for 12 in field goal attempts. Linebacker Kerion Martin leads Marshall in tackles with 38, while lineman Jamaal Whyce Jr. is the leader in quarterback sacks with 2.5. Marshall's defense has made 17 quarterback sacks and intercepted eight passes.

Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Pick

Spread Pick for Texas State vs. Marshall

• Marshall Thundering Herd +3 (4 units)

Marshall is an underdog at home, but the Thundering Herd have improved their defense, allowing 141.2 yards per game rushing, and will face a tough Texas State offense that averages 250.2 yards rushing. However, the Thundering Herd will make enough stops on the ground to prevent Texas State from moving the chains repeatedly. On offense, Marshall will use its 32nd-ranked running game, which averages 197.8 yards per game, against a Texas State rush defense that is 98th, allowing an average of 158.8 points per game. Texas State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five. Marshall has covered the spread in nine of its last 11 games, and the Thundering Herd has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games played on a Saturday.

Over/Under Pick for Texas State vs. Marshall

• Over 64.5 (4 units)

The total has finished over in five of the last six games that Texas State played against a team from the Sun Belt Conference. In addition, the total has been over in six of Marshall's last nine games. As mentioned at least once previously, Texas State scores an average of 36.0 points per game and allows an average of 29.8 points per game. Marshall scores an average of 34.3 points per game and allows an average of 29.8.