Michigan vs Oregon Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 14, 2026

The Michigan Wolverines visit the 18th-ranked Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. Michigan is 5-4, 2-4 in the Big Ten, after losing 15-6 to Michigan State last weekend. Oregon is 6-3 and 4-2 in conference play, after beating Ohio State 41-28. The Ducks have won two straight, while Michigan has split its last four. Kickoff is 3:30 pm ET on FS1. Oregon is favored by 11.5 points, with the total at 38.5. For more Saturday matchups, check our free college football picks.

Michigan Searching for More Offense

Michigan couldn't get much going against Michigan State last Saturday. Michigan scored six points in a 15-6 loss, its second six-point outing in three games. A 13-6 overtime defeat to Indiana on October 24 was another setback. Michigan did beat Rutgers 28-21 between those losses, but scoring has been inconsistent. The Wolverines haven't reached 30 points in any of their last five games. Oregon just scored 41, making another slow start dangerous.

Bryce Underwood has passed for 924 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions, completing 58.1% of his throws. Tommy Carr has added 641 yards, but Michigan's quarterbacks have combined for nine interceptions. Savion Hiter leads the rushing attack with 331 yards, just ahead of Jordan Marshall's 323. JJ Buchanan leads the receivers, catching 40 passes for 646 yards and five scores. Defensively, John Henry Daley has six sacks, while Troy Bowles leads Michigan with 72 tackles. Oregon brings a strong pass rush.

Injuries: A. Sprague is out. B. Norton, K. Bell, Z. Marshall and L. Forbes are questionable.

Oregon Building Momentum Again

Oregon returned from Columbus with a 41-28 win over Ohio State last Saturday, its second straight victory. They beat Northwestern 34-26 the previous week after a 21-10 loss at Illinois. Oregon has now scored 75 points across its last two games. The offense had struggled against Illinois and UCLA. The Ducks have improved their finishing, while the defense continues to pressure quarterbacks.

Dylan Raiola has thrown for 1,354 yards, 11 touchdowns and only two interceptions, completing 65.4% of his passes. Dante Moore has added 926 yards and nine touchdowns without an interception. Dakorien Moore leads Oregon with 601 receiving yards and seven scores, while Evan Stewart has 470 yards. Dierre Hill Jr. has rushed for 474 yards, and Jordon Davison has 439 with seven touchdowns. Matayo Uiagalelei anchors the pass rush with 7.5 sacks. Oregon's balance gives Michigan several problems to solve.

Injuries: I. Hooks, A. Flowers and J. McClellan are out. E. Stewart, D. Gresham and S. Price are questionable.

Key To The Game

Michigan needs to keep Oregon's rushers out of the backfield and avoid turnovers. The Wolverines average just 3.6 yards per carry, while Oregon has two backs above 400 rushing yards. If the Ducks establish the run early, their passing options become harder to contain. Michigan cannot afford another six-point performance.

Michigan vs Oregon Game Pick

• Oregon Ducks -11.5

Michigan's defense kept Michigan State to 15 points, but its offense hasn't done nearly enough. Oregon just scored 41 at Ohio State and has more ways to move the ball. Raiola protects possession, Hill and Davison offer a steady rushing attack, and Uiagalelei can pressure Michigan's quarterbacks. The Wolverines have struggled to score against recent Big Ten opponents, and Oregon should be able to build an early advantage. Michigan's defense could keep things competitive for a while, but I'll take Oregon to cover 11.5.

Michigan vs Oregon Over/Under Pick

• Under 38.5

Oregon's recent scoring makes the over appealing, but Michigan has managed just six points in two of its last three games. The Wolverines average only 3.6 yards per rush, and their quarterbacks have combined for nine interceptions. Oregon's pass rush should make sustained Michigan drives difficult. The Ducks can carry much of the scoring, but a one-sided game doesn't automatically mean a high total. Michigan has also kept several recent opponents below 22 points. I expect Oregon to control this matchup without needing a shootout. Take the under 38.5.