Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams Picks and Prediction for Friday, October 10, 2025

A pair of Mountain West programs collide on the gridiron in the Centennial State as the Fresno State Bulldogs travel to take on the Colorado State Rams Friday night and we have you covered with our Fresno State vs. Colorado State prediction. Fresno State dropped Nevada 20-17 at home Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 13.5-point favorite, in their previous contest. Colorado State was blasted 45-24 on the road by San Diego State in their previous contest Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 5.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Rams own a 10-7 advantage but the Bulldogs have won the last two meetings, including a 28-22 home win in the most recent matchup on November 23, 2024. Read more about this Fresno State vs. Colorado State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!

Fresno State Looking for Sixth Straight Win

Fresno State picked up a fifth straight win as they managed to slip by Nevada in their previous contest Saturday and look to continue their momentum here. The Bulldogs improved to 5-1 overall and stand 2-0 in the Mountain West on the year. Against Nevada, Fresno State trailed 3-0 after the opening quarter before scoring 20 points in the second quarter to take a 20-3 advantage. The Bulldogs were scoreless in the second half and held off the Wolf Pack after the margin was trimmed to three early in the fourth quarter to earn the win. Fresno State held a 342-246 advantage in total offense, picked up 16 first downs while allowing 13, owned a 32:49 to 27:11 margin in time of possession and forced four turnovers while committing just one in the game.

For the year, the Bulldogs are 98th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 196.3 yards per contest, while they are 56th in rushing offense by grinding out 172.2 yards per game on the ground. Fresno State is 58th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up an average of 30.7 points per contest, while they are 36th in scoring defense by allowing 19.5 points a game. E.J. Warner is 111 of 153 passing for 1,136 yards with seven touchdowns and six interceptions along with 67 rushing yards plus a score. Carson Conklin is five of six for 42 yards plus six rushing yards as the backup. Bryson Donelson leads the team on the ground with 77 carries for 382 yards and three scores this season. Rayshon Luke (54 carries, 346 yards, five TD) and Elijah Gilliam (17 carries, 101 yards, two TD) share the workload in the system. Ezekiel Avit leads the team with 19 receptions for 197 yards this season. Luke (18 catches, 105 yards, TD), Josiah Freeman (17 grabs, 211 yards, TD), Donelson (13 receptions, 108 yards), Richie Anderson III (15 catches, 150 yards, two TD) and Jayon Farrar (six grabs, 55 yards) are valuable options in the passing game this season. Dylan Lynch has hit all 20 extra point attempts and eight of 12 field goal attempts this season with a long of 43 this season.

Rams Seeking to Prevail at Home

Colorado State suffered a third straight defeat as they were clubbed on the road by San Diego State on Saturday in their previous outing. The Rams fell to 1-4 overall on the season and are 0-1 in the Mountain West on the year. Against San Diego State, Colorado State gave up the lone score of the opening quarter and never got even the rest of the way. The Rams trailed 28-10 at the half and never got closer than that the rest of the way en route to the loss. Colorado State was outgained 541-355 in total offense, lost the first down battle 24-22 and was crushed 34:02 to 25:58 in time of possession in the game. There were no turnovers in the contest.

The Rams are putting up 193.8 yards per game through the air, which is 100th in the nation, while adding 152.6 yards per contest on the ground (tied for 76th) this season. Colorado State is 125th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up 17 points per game while the team has sputtered defensively, ranking 96th in scoring defense by allowing 27.4 points per contest. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi is 44 of 82 passing for 488 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions on the season. Jackson Brousseau (42 of 65, 421 yards, two TD, 20 rush yards, TD) and Darius Curry (five of five, 51 yards, TD, 14 rush yards) have each seen limited action. Jalen Dupree leads the team on the ground with 69 carries for 370 yards and a score on the year. Lloyd Avant (33 carries, 226 yards, two TD), Javion Kinnard (five carries, 36 yards) and Justin Marshall (16 carries, 83 yards, TD) have had their share of work on the ground. Tommy Maher leads the team with 15 receptions for 166 yards on the year. Armani Whitfield (13 catches, 203 yards, TD), Jaxxon Warren (seven grabs, 95 yards, TD), Dupree (nine catches, 72 yards), Rocky Beers (seven receptions, 68 yards, TD) and Lavon Brown (six grabs, 60 yards) are secondary targets. Isaiah Hankins is eight of eight on extra point attempts and three of six on field goal attempts with a long of 50 this season.

Warren (undisclosed) has missed the last three games and is questionable for this contest.

Fresno State vs. Colorado State Pick

Spread Pick for Fresno State vs. Colorado State

• Fresno State -6.5 (4 units)

Fresno State has won five straight since opening the season with a 31-7 loss to Kansas. The Bulldogs have done a solid job moving the ball on the ground and their defense has forced 11 turnovers on the year. Colorado State has struggled offensively and benched Fowler-Nicolosi last month. The Rams have had issues defensively as well, and playing at home doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence. Colorado State is just 1-2 at home on the year, and that was a 21-17 win over a Northern Colorado squad they were favored by 35 points against back in September. Fresno State should win this one convincingly.

Over/Under Pick for Fresno State vs. Colorado State

• Under 47.5 (4 units)

Fresno State has split their six games in relation to the total this season, entering this game. The Bulldogs have stayed under the number in two of their three road games this season, staying under in the Kansas loss and their win over Hawaii, while going over the total in their win over Oregon State. Colorado  State has stayed under the number in three of their five games and their 24 points against San Diego State was their high-water mark of the season. All three of the Rams’ home games have fallen short of the mark and their offensive woes, coupled with a stout Fresno State defense, keep this game under the name.