Little Rock vs. Lindenwood, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Little Rock (12-19, 9-11 OVC) will be going for their second consecutive win when they visit Ford Center on Wednesday night to face Lindenwood (17-14, 11-9 OVC) in the first round of the OVC Tournament at 9:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Trojans vs. Lions prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Trojans are coming off an 89-70 win over South Indiana as 5.5-point favorites. The Lions are coming off a 91-69 win over W. Illinois as 11.5-point favorites.

Little Rock and Lindenwood split their last eight meetings.

Little Rock Going For Third Win In Five Games

The Trojans snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over South Indiana in their last game. They will try to keep the momentum going and book a spot in the next round with a win over the Lions.

Little Rock averages 70.8 points per game. They’ve made 45 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers.

Jonathan Lawson leads the Trojans with 16.2 points and four assists per game. Cameron Wallace averages 12.6 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, while Kachi Nzeh averages 11.6 points and 4.6 rebounds per game.

Little Rock is giving up 74.2 points per game. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Lindenwood Trying To Avoid Upset

The Lions snapped their four-game losing streak with a win over Western Illinois in their last game. They finished sixth in the OVC standings, four games behind conference-winning Tennessee State. They will try to avoid an upset when they play on Wednesday.

Lindenwood averages 78.3 points per game. They’ve made 46 percent of their field goals and 31.2 percent of their three-pointers.

Anias Futrel leads the Lions with 17.9 points and six rebounds per game. Dontrez Williams averages 15.3 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, while Jadis Jones averages 15.3 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Lindenwood is giving up 73.2 points per game. Opponents have made 43 percent of their field goals and 30.2 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Little Rock vs. Lindenwood Picks

Point Spread Pick for Little Rock vs. Lindenwood

• Lindenwood Lions to cover. (4 Units)

The Lions have the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 77 points per game at home, while making over 47 percent of their shots. Their ball movement has been good, and they’re also the better rebounding team, grabbing more than 12 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut down their turnovers in recent games, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Trojans aren’t very good defensively, and they’re giving up more than 74 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Lions. Take Lindenwood to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Little Rock vs. Lindenwood

• Under (4 Units)

The Trojans average 70.8 points per game. They play at the 274th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 68.8 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 70.7 points per game in their last three games. The Lions average 78.3 points per game. They play at the 18th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 75.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 72 points per game in their last three games. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.