Florida vs Florida State Picks and Prediction for Tuesday November 10, 2026

The Florida Gators will be on the road Tuesday night for an in-state rivalry matchup against the Florida State Seminoles inside the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in Tallahassee, Florida. The game is scheduled to begin at 6 PM ET with coverage on ESPN2. The Florida Gators come into Tuesday night ranked number one in the country, undefeated through two games played following a 31-point victory in their last outing. Florida State stays at home Tuesday night, also undefeated after two games this season following a 23-point victory over Troy in its last outing. The Florida Gators come into Tuesday as a -9.5 road favorite and -550 on the money line. Florida State is a +410, and the total is set at 164.5. Keep up with our College Basketball Picks.

Florida looks to stay #1

The Florida Gators offense has been dominant to start the year, averaging 82.5 points on 46% shooting. Defensively, Florida has been just as strong, holding opponents to 62 points per game this year. Thomas Haugh is leading the Florida offense this season, averaging 16.5 points per game. Big man Rueben Chinyelu is second on the team, averaging 13.5 points, and he leads Florida, pulling in 11 rebounds per game. Alex Condon is third on the team, averaging 11.5 points along with a team-high 5.5 assists. Urban Klavzar is fourth on the roster with 10.5 points in just under 20 minutes per game.

The Florida offense dominated its last outing, scoring 88 points on 48% shooting and 44% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Florida rolled, giving up just 57 points on 33% shooting. The Gators won the rebounding battle by 27 and forced 10 turnovers in the win. Big man Rueben Chinyelu led Florida with 21 points on nine shots.

FSU hunts the huge home win

Offensively, Florida State is rolling to start the year, averaging 101.5 points on 50% shooting. Defensively, Florida State has been just as strong, giving up 68.5 points per game through its first two games played. Sebastian Rancik is leading the Florida State offense this season, averaging 21.5 points per game. Kam Taylor is second on the team, averaging 15 points per game this year. Shon Abaev is third on the roster, averaging 13 points, and he leads the team, dishing out six assists. Marcis Ponder is fourth on the team, averaging 12.5 points, and he leads Florida State, pulling in 10.5 rebounds per game. Anthony Robinson II is averaging 11 points, and Brandon Bass Jr. is averaging 10.5 points per game.

Offensively, Florida State rolled in its last outing, scoring 91 points on 43% shooting. Defensively, Florida State was the better team, giving up 68 points on 42% shooting. The Seminoles won the rebounding battle by 25 and forced 11 turnovers in the win. Shon Abaev led Florida State with 20 points and six assists on 14 shots.

Florida vs. Florida State  Picks and Prediction

Pick: Florida Gators -9.5

Florida is the better team in this matchup and should have little trouble finding offensive success against the Seminoles. The Gators have the size to dominate the paint and should have a noticeable advantage on the glass throughout the game. Florida State will feed off its home crowd early, but keeping pace with the Gators for 40 minutes will be a difficult task. Florida can create offense from several different positions, making it tough for the Seminoles to focus on one player defensively. The Gators should wear Florida State down as the game progresses, using their superior depth and interior presence to pick up another victory.

Total Pick: Over 164.5

Florida State will need to push the pace and find easy baskets to have any chance of keeping this game competitive. That approach could work against the Seminoles, as Florida has the personnel to turn defensive stops into quick points on the other end. The Gators should also have plenty of opportunities around the basket, especially if Florida State struggles to keep them off the offensive glass. Florida has enough firepower to carry a large portion of the scoring on its own, while the Seminoles should contribute offensively with the benefit of playing at home. This rivalry matchup has the potential to turn into a high-scoring affair.

Final Picks: Florida Gators -9.5 and Over 164.5