Duke Blue Devils vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday February 24 2026
Duke vs Notre Dame picks bring a classic ACC matchup to Purcell Pavilion, and the number tells you exactly how the market views this one. If you are looking for sharp college basketball picks, this game comes down to whether Notre Dame can score enough to stay within a massive spread.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Duke -17.5
- Total Pick: Under 140.5
- Projected Final Score: Duke 78, Notre Dame 58
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Market | Duke | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -17.5 (-110) | +17.5 (-110) |
| Total | Over 138.5 (-115) | Under 138.5 (-105) |
Current Odds
| Market | Duke | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -18.5 (-120) | +18.5 (-102) |
| Total | Over 140.5 (-106) | Under 140.5 (-114) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Duke | Notre Dame | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | 09:13:00AM | -17.5 -110 | 17.5 -110 | DUKE 98%, DUKE 80% |
| 02/24 | 08:31:29AM | -18.5 -102 | 18.5 -120 | DUKE 99%, DUKE 87% |
| 02/23 | 05:09:18PM | -18.5 -102 | 18.5 -120 | DUKE 100%, DUKE 100% |
| 02/23 | 02:33:20PM | -17.5 -110 | 17.5 -110 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | 08:31:29AM | 140.5 -106 | 140.5 -114 | OV 75%, OV 50% |
| 02/24 | 12:14:15AM | 140.5 -106 | 140.5 -114 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/23 | 05:19:34PM | 139.5 -115 | 139.5 -105 | |
| 02/23 | 02:33:20PM | 138.5 -115 | 138.5 -105 |
Duke
The Blue Devils enter at 25-2, pairing an 82.4 points-per-game offense with a defense that allows just 63.1 points per contest. That balance travels well, especially in conference play.
Duke can attack inside with size and rim pressure while also rotating defenders in waves. Depth has not been a major issue outside of minor rotation absences.
Notre Dame
The Irish have struggled at 12-15, and injuries have reshaped the rotation. Markus Burton, the team’s top creator and scorer at 18.5 points per game in limited action, remains out with an ankle injury.
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Without Burton’s downhill ability, Notre Dame leans on Braeden Shrewsberry and Cole Certa. When the offense stalls into contested mid-range attempts, efficiency drops quickly.
Duke vs Notre Dame
Duke’s defense forces tough shots and rarely gives away easy points. Against a thin Notre Dame frontcourt, the Blue Devils should control the glass and limit second-chance opportunities.
If Duke reaches the mid-to-high 70s, the burden falls on Notre Dame to keep pace. That is a tall order given current roster limitations and Duke’s defensive baseline.
Duke vs Notre Dame Key Matchups and Handicap
The spread has climbed from -17.5 to -18.5 with overwhelming public support on Duke. Even with the inflated number, the matchup edge remains clear.
Notre Dame’s missing frontcourt depth makes rebounding a concern. Duke’s ability to attack the paint and defend without fouling should keep this game at a controlled tempo.
The total has ticked up from 138.5 to 140.5, but the under still holds value. If Duke controls pace and limits efficient looks, Notre Dame may struggle to reach 60 points.
Betting Trends - DUKE and ND
- Duke is 25-2 entering this matchup.
- Notre Dame is 12-15 on the season.
- The spread moved from -17.5 to -18.5.
- The total moved from 138.5 to 140.5.
- Public money heavily backs Duke.
Key Injuries and Notes - DUKE and ND
- Markus Burton is out for Notre Dame with an ankle injury.
- Jalen Haralson is out.
- Kebba Njie and Tommy Ahneman are out with knee injuries.
- Duke’s only notable absence is depth piece Ifeanyi Ufochukwu.
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Duke -17.5
- Total Pick: Under 140.5
Final Score Prediction
Duke 78, Notre Dame 58
How to Bet
With heavy public support pushing the spread higher, timing your wager is important. Compare prices across the best sportsbooks before placing your bet.
Take advantage of available sportsbook promo codes and explore social sportsbooks for alternative wagering options. You can also look into offers like the bet365 bonus code and the fliff promo code to maximize value before tip-off.
