Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 11, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Boston Red Sox visit the New York Mets on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Boston enters with a 43-48 record and sits fourth in the AL East, while New York is 40-54 and fifth in the NL East. The Red Sox have won six straight contests after sweeping the White Sox, while the Mets have won four of their last five following consecutive victories over Kansas City. Win big with our free MLB picks.
Boston Red Sox Looking to Extend Six-Game Winning Streak
Boston has received balanced offensive production throughout the season, ranking 13th in MLB with a .244 team batting average. The Red Sox have scored 372 runs while collecting 743 hits, 81 home runs, a .314 on-base percentage, and a .387 slugging percentage. Willson Contreras has been the club's top hitter with a .285 average, 20 home runs, and 61 RBI, although he remains unavailable because of a suspension. Ceddanne Rafaela has contributed a .283 batting average and 93 hits, while Wilyer Abreu continues to provide consistent production with a .260 average and 10 home runs.
The Red Sox have been carried by one of the American League's strongest pitching staffs. Boston ranks seventh in MLB with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .239 batting average. Red Sox pitchers have recorded 768 strikeouts while allowing only 94 home runs.
Injuries: Nick Sogard (10-Day IL), Willson Contreras (Suspension), Isiah Kiner-Falefa (10-Day IL), Connelly Early (15-Day IL), Ranger Suárez (15-Day IL).
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New York Mets Looking to Continue Their Recent Surge
New York has struggled offensively for much of the season, ranking 25th in MLB with a .235 batting average. The Mets have scored 394 runs while recording 742 hits, 110 home runs, a .304 on-base percentage, and a .383 slugging percentage. Juan Soto continues to carry the lineup with a .297 batting average, 21 home runs, 50 RBI, and a .414 on-base percentage. Bo Bichette leads the club with 97 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge is batting .269 with 11 home runs.
New York's pitching staff has produced mixed results throughout the season. The Mets rank 20th in MLB with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP while holding opponents to a .239 batting average. Mets pitchers have totaled 851 strikeouts.
Injuries: Dedniel Núñez (60-Day IL), Luis Robert Jr. (60-Day IL), Justin Hagenman (60-Day IL), Austin Warren (15-Day IL), Marcus Semien (10-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Boston Red Sox – TBA
Boston has not officially announced a starting pitcher for Saturday's matchup. Regardless of who gets the assignment, the Red Sox will rely on a pitching staff that ranks seventh in MLB with a 3.70 ERA and has been a major reason for the club's current six-game winning streak.
New York Mets – Freddy Peralta
Peralta enters with a 5-7 record, a 4.68 ERA, and a 1.42 WHIP across 100.0 innings. He has allowed 103 hits while striking out 98 batters and walking 39. Peralta has shown the ability to miss bats, but command issues and occasional hard contact have led to inconsistent outings throughout the season.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Pick
- Boston Red Sox
Boston enters this matchup with the hotter club, winning six consecutive contests while receiving outstanding production from its pitching staff. Even without knowing the starting pitcher, the Red Sox own a significant advantage on the mound with a team ERA nearly three-quarters of a run lower than New York's. The Mets have played better recently, but Boston has consistently limited opposing offenses during its winning streak. With Rafaela, Abreu, and the rest of the lineup providing enough run support, the Red Sox will win.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Over/Under Pick
- Under
Boston's pitching staff has been one of the most reliable groups in baseball all season, while Peralta has generally kept the Mets competitive despite inconsistent run support. The Red Sox have won with pitching throughout their current streak, allowing only four total runs over their last three contests. Although New York has scored more frequently during the past week, Boston's staff is capable of slowing that momentum. With one dependable pitching staff and an unknown Boston starter likely backed by a rested bullpen, the under will cash.
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